Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 14

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Bracknell Town		Dorchester Town

	1	X	2
	2.28	3.5	2.58
	2.33	3.76	2.62	Watch
	2.31	3.5	2.54
	2.33	3.6	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.07)	3.59 ↓ (3.65)	2.59 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bracknell Town
39.4%

Draw
25.4%

Dorchester Town
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45%

25.5%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

25.8%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bracknell Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bracknell Town's form might have worsened.

Dorchester Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dorchester Town's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bracknell Town than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bracknell Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dorchester Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bracknell Town - Dorchester Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
37', 0 - 1, Pardoe L. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
75', 1 - 1, Bowerman S. ⚽,
82', 2 - 1, McGregor G. ⚽,
90+14', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bracknell won 2.

Bracknell is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Dorchester's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bracknell won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bracknell won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bracknell Town
English FA Trophy
26.10.25	Bracknell Town - Banbury United	1:0 ✺
English Southern League South Division
22.10.25	Gosport Borough - Bracknell Town	6:1 ✺
18.10.25	Chertsey Town - Bracknell Town	1:1 ✺
13.10.25	Bracknell Town - Gloucester City	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Plymouth Parkway - Bracknell Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLTLL
- Dorchester Town
English FA Trophy
28.10.25	Basingstoke Town - Dorchester Town	1:2 penalties ✺
English Southern League South Division
21.10.25	Dorchester Town - Basingstoke Town	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Dorchester Town - Wimborne Town	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Poole Town - Dorchester Town	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Hanwell Town - Dorchester Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
18.01.25	Dorchester Town - Bracknell Town	1:0
09.11.24	Bracknell Town - Dorchester Town	1:1
17.02.24	Bracknell Town - Dorchester Town	1:3
14.11.23	Dorchester Town - Bracknell Town	1:2
11.03.23	Bracknell Town - Dorchester Town	2:0
18.02.23	Dorchester Town - Bracknell Town	1:2

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