Match Info
Southern League Premier South - Round 11Date: 14 October 2025, Tuesday
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 |
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 |
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Poole Town |
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Dorchester Town |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.08 |
3.6 |
2.82 |
|
 |
2.25 |
3.69 |
2.69 |
|
 |
2.2 |
3.58 |
2.74 |
|
 |
1.8 |
3.8 |
3.66 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↑
(1.72) |
3.67 ↓
(3.95) |
2.98 ↓
(4.1) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Poole Town
44.1% | Draw
25% | Dorchester Town
30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Poole Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Poole Town's form might have worsened.Dorchester Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Dorchester Town's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Poole Town than the current prediction. (+11.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Poole Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dorchester Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Poole Town - Dorchester Town Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Poole (votes: 3 - 60%). Dorchester (votes: 2 - 40%).
Users Predictions:
Poole Town will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 21', 1 - 0, Diaz A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 60', 2 - 0, Gwengwe S. (Pen),
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: ) and 18).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Poole won 2.Poole is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Dorchester has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Dorchester may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Poole might have a minor edge in this game.In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Poole won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 30:15. (average 1.9:0.9).Including home matches between the teams, Poole won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 0.9:0.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| English Southern League South Division | | | 21.04.25 | Dorchester Town - Poole Town | 3:2 | | 26.12.24 | Poole Town - Dorchester Town | 1:1 | | 26.12.23 | Dorchester Town - Poole Town | 1:2 | | 28.08.23 | Poole Town - Dorchester Town | 1:2 | | 10.04.23 | Dorchester Town - Poole Town | 1:6 | | 26.12.22 | Poole Town - Dorchester Town | 3:0 | | 27.12.21 | Dorchester Town - Poole Town | 1:4 |
|
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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