Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 13

Date: 21 October 2025, Tuesday


	Dorchester Town		Basingstoke Town

	1	X	2
	2.08	3.55	2.88
	2.24	3.71	2.71
	2.31	3.59	2.73	Watch
	2.24	3.45	2.76
	2.2	3.45	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.31)	3.55 ↓ (3.59)	2.74 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dorchester Town
41.1%

Draw
25.6%

Basingstoke Town
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.2%

25.8%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2%

27.1%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dorchester Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Basingstoke Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dorchester Town than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basingstoke Town than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Dorchester Town - Basingstoke Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
87', 1 - 0, Parker J. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dorchester won 3.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Dorchester won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:27. (average 1.5:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Dorchester won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.8:1.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Dorchester Town - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.17%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dorchester Town
English Southern League South Division
18.10.25	Dorchester Town - Wimborne Town	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Poole Town - Dorchester Town	2:0 ✺
11.10.25	Hanwell Town - Dorchester Town	0:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Dorchester Town - Bideford	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
27.09.25	Farnham Town - Dorchester Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLWWL
- Basingstoke Town
English Southern League South Division
18.10.25	Gosport Borough - Basingstoke Town	3:4 ✺
14.10.25	Basingstoke Town - Chertsey Town	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Uxbridge - Basingstoke Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Basingstoke Town - Shaftesbury	2:1 ✺
English Southern League South Division
27.09.25	Gloucester City - Basingstoke Town	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
28.12.24	Dorchester Town - Basingstoke Town	3:2
17.08.24	Basingstoke Town - Dorchester Town	2:0
20.04.24	Basingstoke Town - Dorchester Town	3:1
11.11.23	Dorchester Town - Basingstoke Town	4:1
16.03.19	Dorchester Town - Basingstoke Town	4:1
06.10.18	Basingstoke Town - Dorchester Town	1:2
English FA Trophy
28.10.17	Dorchester Town - Basingstoke Town	2:1

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