Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 13

Date: 22 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Larges Lane (Bracknell)


	Bracknell Town		Swindon Supermarine

	1	X	2
	1.6	4.1	4
	1.61	4.2	4.2
	1.65	4.98	3.55
	1.62	4.82	4.14
	1.61	4.1	4.3
	1.61	4.2	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.84)	4.4 ↑ (3.56)	4.07 ↑ (3.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bracknell Town
56.7%

Draw
20.8%

Swindon Supermarine
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

25.6%

25%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2%

24.7%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bracknell Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bracknell Town's performance.

Swindon Supermarine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bracknell Town than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bracknell Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Supermarine than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Bracknell Town - Swindon Supermarine Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
16', 1 - 0, Ashton S. ⚽,
19', 2 - 0, Tack L. ⚽,
21', 2 - 1, Williams H. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
61', 3 - 1, Rollinson J. ⚽,
75', 3 - 2, Reivers G. ⚽,
83', 4 - 2, Rollinson J. ⚽,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 14).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Bracknell could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bracknell is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Bracknell won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:6 (average 3:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Bracknell won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:2 (average 4.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bracknell Town
English Southern League South Division
19.10.24	Bracknell Town - Wimborne Town	0:0 ✺
15.10.24	Hungerford Town - Bracknell Town	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Lewes - Bracknell Town	6:3 ✺
English Southern League South Division
24.09.24	Bracknell Town - Chertsey Town	1:1 ✺
21.09.24	Bracknell Town - Totton	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TWLTT
- Swindon Supermarine
English Southern League South Division
19.10.24	Gosport Borough - Swindon Supermarine	3:2 ✺
15.10.24	Swindon Supermarine - Winchester City	2:0 ✺
12.10.24	Swindon Supermarine - Tiverton Town	4:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Winchester City - Swindon Supermarine	5:2 ✺
English Southern League South Division
24.09.24	Taunton Town - Swindon Supermarine	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
23.12.23	Swindon Supermarine - Bracknell Town	3:1
26.08.23	Bracknell Town - Swindon Supermarine	5:0
08.04.23	Swindon Supermarine - Bracknell Town	1:2
02.12.22	Bracknell Town - Swindon Supermarine	4:2

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