Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 28

Date: 25 January 2025, Saturday


	Winchester City		Swindon Supermarine

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.6	2.5
	2.29	3.88	2.65
	2.37	3.85	2.61
	2.24	3.7	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↓ (2.4)	3.76 ↑ (3.6)	2.58 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Winchester City
40%

Draw
24.4%

Swindon Supermarine
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

25%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

25.2%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Winchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Swindon Supermarine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winchester City than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Swindon Supermarine than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Winchester City - Swindon Supermarine Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
88', 1 - 0, Hill I. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Winchester won 1.

Recent matches Winchester is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Swindon Supermarine is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Winchester won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:21 (average 1.8:2.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Winchester won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:15 (average 2:3.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Winchester City
English Southern League South Division
18.01.25	Winchester City - Frome Town	1:3 ✺
11.01.25	Basingstoke Town - Winchester City	2:0 ✺
04.01.25	Winchester City - Marlow	3:1 ✺
01.01.25	Dorchester Town - Winchester City	1:0 ✺
28.12.24	Gosport Borough - Winchester City	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLWLW
- Swindon Supermarine
English Southern League South Division
18.01.25	Swindon Supermarine - Chertsey Town	1:0 ✺
11.01.25	Plymouth Parkway - Swindon Supermarine	2:3 ✺
04.01.25	Sholing - Swindon Supermarine	3:5 ✺
01.01.25	Swindon Supermarine - Hungerford Town	1:3 ✺
28.12.24	Swindon Supermarine - Hanwell Town	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
15.10.24	Swindon Supermarine - Winchester City	2:0
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Winchester City - Swindon Supermarine	5:2
English Southern League South Division
27.04.24	Swindon Supermarine - Winchester City	3:0
06.02.24	Winchester City - Swindon Supermarine	2:2
04.03.23	Winchester City - Swindon Supermarine	1:6
English FA Trophy
29.10.22	Winchester City - Swindon Supermarine	0:5
English Southern League South Division
22.10.22	Swindon Supermarine - Winchester City	1:2

Winchester City - Swindon Supermarine: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide