Match Info

National League South - Round 14

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday


	Totton		Chelmsford City

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.35	3.35
	2.29	3.25	3
	2.49	3.55	2.54	Watch
	2.02	3.42	3.44
	2.55	3.2	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (2.49)	3.35 ↓ (3.55)	2.96 ↑ (2.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Totton
40.9%

Draw
27.7%

Chelmsford City
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.3%

26.2%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

25.7%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Totton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Chelmsford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chelmsford City might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Totton than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelmsford City than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Totton - Chelmsford City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Lee T. ⚽,
5', 1 - 1, Taylor L. ⚽,
20', 2 - 1, Ward C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Chelmsford may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Chelmsford City - the odds 2.54 are the expected chance of winning is 36.56%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AFC Totton
English National League South
21.10.25	Bath City - Totton	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Totton - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:1 ✺
English FA Cup
14.10.25	Truro City - Totton	1:2 penalties ✺
11.10.25	Totton - Truro City	1:1 ✺
English National League South
04.10.25	Totton - Weston-super-Mare	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 LWWTW
- Chelmsford City
English National League South
18.10.25	Chelmsford City - Worthing	1:2 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Chelmsford City - Chippenham Town	4:3 ✺
English National League South
04.10.25	Chelmsford City - Dorking Wanderers	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
27.09.25	Alvechurch - Chelmsford City	1:2 ✺
English National League South
20.09.25	Bath City - Chelmsford City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWTWW

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