The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bradford Park Avenue 27%
Draw 28.7%
Alfreton Town 44.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16.6%
24.6%
58.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.2%
23.9%
60.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bradford Park Avenue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bradford Park Avenue's performance.
Alfreton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alfreton Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bradford Park Avenue than the current prediction. (-10.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bradford Park Avenue that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (+16.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alfreton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
40%
20%
Bradford Park Avenue - Alfreton Town Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Bradford PA will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Alfreton will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%). Confidence interval (95%) for Bradford PA: 9.6% โ 70.4%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 9).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Bradford Park Avenue won 2.
Bradford Park Avenue has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Alfreton is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Alfreton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Alfreton is a favorite.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Bradford Park Avenue won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 21-16.
Including matches at home between the teams Bradford Park Avenue won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14-6.