Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 23

Date: 16 December 2023, Saturday


	Alfreton Town		Blyth Spartans

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	3.75
	1.8	3.4	3.6
	1.85	3.6	3.75	Watch
	1.88	3.61	3.99
	1.88	3.61	3.99
	1.75	3.6	3.7
	1.81	3.64	3.94
	1.83	3.5	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.68)	3.57 ↓ (3.6)	3.8 ↓ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alfreton Town
50.2%

Draw
25.7%

Blyth Spartans
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

25.1%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

26.1%

20.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alfreton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Blyth Spartans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alfreton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blyth Spartans than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Alfreton Town - Blyth Spartans Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alfreton won 2.

Alfreton is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Blyth is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Alfreton have a series of home games.

In this match Alfreton is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Alfreton won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 18-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Alfreton won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alfreton Town
English FA Cup
12.12.23	Walsall - Alfreton Town	1:0 ✺
05.12.23	Alfreton Town - Walsall	0:0 ✺
English National League North
25.11.23	Alfreton Town - Brackley Town	0:1 ✺
21.11.23	Alfreton Town - Chester	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Alfreton Town - Macclesfield Town	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LTLTL
- Blyth Spartans
English FA Trophy
09.12.23	Chorley - Blyth Spartans	2:0 ✺
English National League North
02.12.23	Rushall Olympic - Blyth Spartans	1:3 ✺
25.11.23	Blyth Spartans - Peterborough Sports	2:3 ✺
21.11.23	Blyth Spartans - Chorley	1:1 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Warrington Town - Blyth Spartans	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
23.09.23	Blyth Spartans - Alfreton Town	1:3
22.04.23	Alfreton Town - Blyth Spartans	1:0
22.10.22	Blyth Spartans - Alfreton Town	2:2
22.01.22	Alfreton Town - Blyth Spartans	0:1
14.08.21	Blyth Spartans - Alfreton Town	2:0
English FA Trophy
03.12.19	Alfreton Town - Blyth Spartans	1:3
23.11.19	Blyth Spartans - Alfreton Town	1:1

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