Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 13

Date: 21 October 2023, Saturday


	Gloucester City		Alfreton Town

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	2.15
	2.85	3.2	2.15
	2.95	3.4	2.25	Watch
	3.05	3.3	2.31
	3.05	3.28	2.32
	2.6	3.4	2.4
	2.99	3.3	2.25
	2.95	3.25	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.45)	3.33 ↓ (3.4)	2.26 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gloucester City
31.5%

Draw
27.7%

Alfreton Town
40.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37%

26.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

27.4%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gloucester City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gloucester City's form might have worsened.

Alfreton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gloucester City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alfreton Town than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alfreton Town, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Gloucester City - Alfreton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gloucester won 1.

Gloucester is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Alfreton in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Gloucester won 3 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Gloucester won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gloucester City
English National League North
14.10.23	Southport - Gloucester City	2:1 ✺
07.10.23	Gloucester City - Chorley	0:2 ✺
23.09.23	Darlington - Gloucester City	1:1 ✺
09.09.23	Gloucester City - Farsley	0:1 ✺
05.09.23	Gloucester City - Buxton	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLTLT
- Alfreton Town
English FA Cup
14.10.23	Alfreton Town - Macclesfield Town	3:1 ✺
English National League North
07.10.23	Alfreton Town - Warrington Town	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
30.09.23	Alfreton Town - Emley	1:0 ✺
English National League North
23.09.23	Blyth Spartans - Alfreton Town	1:3 ✺
English FA Cup
16.09.23	Cleethorpes Town - Alfreton Town	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
15.04.23	Gloucester City - Alfreton Town	1:1
15.10.22	Alfreton Town - Gloucester City	1:2
22.02.22	Gloucester City - Alfreton Town	0:0
11.12.21	Alfreton Town - Gloucester City	1:1
09.02.21	Alfreton Town - Gloucester City	Canceled
28.01.20	Alfreton Town - Gloucester City	6:1
25.03.17	Gloucester City - Alfreton Town	4:0

Upcoming Matches