Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 40

Date: 25 March 2023, Saturday


	Bradford Park Avenue		Buxton

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.3	1.88
	3.4	3.4	1.9
	3.84	3.39	1.96
	3.6	3.2	1.95
	3.74	3.45	1.93
	3.45	3.4	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (3.15)	3.36 ↑ (3.2)	1.93 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bradford Park Avenue
25.5%

Draw
27.2%

Buxton
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

28.6%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

27.5%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bradford Park Avenue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Buxton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Buxton's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bradford Park Avenue than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

Bradford Park Avenue - Buxton Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Bradford PA will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 23 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Bradford Park Avenue has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Buxton is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bradford Park Avenue could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Buxton will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Bradford Park Avenue won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bradford Park Avenue
English National League North
18.03.23	Boston United - Bradford Park Avenue	1:0 ✺
07.03.23	AFC Telford United - Bradford Park Avenue	4:0 ✺
04.03.23	Peterborough Sports - Bradford Park Avenue	1:0 ✺
27.02.23	Bradford Park Avenue - Scarborough Athletic	0:0 ✺
25.02.23	Bradford Park Avenue - Chester	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- Buxton FC
English National League North
18.03.23	Buxton - Farsley	2:0 ✺
11.03.23	Banbury United - Buxton	1:3 ✺
07.03.23	Buxton - Fylde	2:2 ✺
04.03.23	Buxton - Gloucester City	2:1 ✺
28.02.23	King`s Lynn Town - Buxton	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
03.12.22	Buxton - Bradford Park Avenue	2:3
English FA Trophy
08.12.15	Buxton - Bradford Park Avenue	1:2

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