Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 35

Date: 20 February 2024, Tuesday


	Buxton		Gloucester City

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.6	4.1
	1.72	3.75	4.33	Watch
	1.74	3.5	4.21
	1.74	3.72	4.65
	1.71	3.74	4.44
	1.73	3.65	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.65)	3.66 ↓ (3.94)	4.31 ↓ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buxton
53.5%

Draw
25.1%

Gloucester City
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

23.4%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

22.6%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buxton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Gloucester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Buxton than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gloucester City than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Buxton - Gloucester City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 14 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Buxton is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gloucester is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Gloucester could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Buxton is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Buxton won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Buxton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buxton FC
English National League North
17.02.24	Buxton - Banbury United	3:1 ✺
03.02.24	Curzon Ashton - Buxton	0:3 ✺
27.01.24	Buxton - Brackley Town	0:0 ✺
23.01.24	Buxton - Warrington Town	0:6 ✺
16.01.24	Chester - Buxton	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.7 WWTLW
- Gloucester City
English National League North
17.02.24	Rushall Olympic - Gloucester City	3:2 ✺
10.02.24	Gloucester City - South Shields	0:5 ✺
06.02.24	Chorley - Gloucester City	3:1 ✺
03.02.24	Gloucester City - King`s Lynn Town	1:2 ✺
27.01.24	Bishops Stortford - Gloucester City	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
05.09.23	Gloucester City - Buxton	0:0
04.03.23	Buxton - Gloucester City	2:1
08.11.22	Gloucester City - Buxton	0:1

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