Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE NORTH - ROUND 35

Date: 25 February 2023, Saturday


	Bradford Park Avenue		Chester

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.5	1.6
	4.25	3.45	1.71
	5.71	3.61	1.62
	5.55	3.55	1.63
	4.7	3.55	1.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	5 ↑ (3.34)	3.53 ↑ (3.24)	1.64 ↓ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bradford Park Avenue
18.3%

Draw
25.9%

Chester
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.4%

28.3%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7%

27.6%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bradford Park Avenue has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bradford Park Avenue's form might have worsened.

Chester has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chester's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bradford Park Avenue than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bradford Park Avenue, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chester than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chester, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bradford Park Avenue - Chester Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bradford Park Avenue won 1.

Bradford Park Avenue is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Chester is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Chester is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Bradford Park Avenue won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 14-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Bradford Park Avenue won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bradford Park Avenue
English National League North
20.02.23	Bradford Park Avenue - Blyth Spartans	0:1 ✺
18.02.23	Brackley Town - Bradford Park Avenue	4:1 ✺
11.02.23	Bradford Park Avenue - Leamington	3:1 ✺
04.02.23	Gloucester City - Bradford Park Avenue	5:1 ✺
31.01.23	King`s Lynn Town - Bradford Park Avenue	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLL
- Chester City
English National League North
21.02.23	Gloucester City - Chester	1:1 ✺
18.02.23	Chester - Boston United	1:0 ✺
11.02.23	King`s Lynn Town - Chester	0:1 ✺
04.02.23	Chester - Spennymoor Town	1:2 ✺
31.01.23	Chester - Alfreton Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
05.11.22	Chester - Bradford Park Avenue	1:0
02.05.22	Chester - Bradford Park Avenue	4:0
08.01.22	Bradford Park Avenue - Chester	1:0
19.01.21	Bradford Park Avenue - Chester	3:3
English FA Trophy
15.12.20	Chester - Bradford Park Avenue	3:1
English National League North
07.03.20	Bradford Park Avenue - Chester	2:1
30.11.19	Chester - Bradford Park Avenue	2:1

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