Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 9

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal Bragança (Bragança)


	Bragança		Machico

	1	X	2
	1.92	3.1	3.75
	1.84	3.16	4.08
	1.96	3.16	3.77	Watch
	1.9	3.5	3.7
	1.81	3.4	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.81)	3.26 ↓ (3.4)	3.82 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bragança
48.3%

Draw
27.9%

Machico
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

26.5%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

21.7%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bragança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Machico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bragança than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bragança that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machico than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Machico could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bragança - Machico Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
49', 1 - 1, ⚽,
61', 2 - 1, ⚽,
70', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Bragança have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Machico has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Bragança is a strong favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GD Bragança
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
02.11.25	Desportivo Monção - Bragança	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Bragança - Brito	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
18.10.25	Bragança - Braga	0:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
05.10.25	Mirandela - Bragança	3:0 ✺
28.09.25	Bragança - São Martinho	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWLLW
- AD Machico
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
02.11.25	Brito - Machico	3:2 ✺
26.10.25	Machico - São Martinho	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Machico - Limianos	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Vianense - Machico	2:2 ✺
27.09.25	Machico - Tirsense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLTT

Bragança - Machico: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide