Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 6

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Dr. José de Matos (Viana do Castelo)


	Vianense		Machico

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.36	4.54
	1.85	3.22	4.23	Watch
	1.7	3.34	4.74
	2.05	3.2	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (2.05)	3.28 ↑ (3.2)	4.19 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vianense
50.2%

Draw
27.9%

Machico
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

28.2%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

28.3%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vianense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vianense's performance.

Machico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Machico might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vianense than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vianense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machico than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Machico could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Vianense - Machico Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', 2 - 1, ⚽,
64', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 6).

Vianense is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Machico has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Vianense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Vianense has had a series of away games.

Vianense might have a minor edge in this game.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Vianense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
28.09.25	Brito - Vianense	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Trofense - Vianense	2:3 ET ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
14.09.25	Vianense - São Martinho	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Bragança - Vianense	2:1 ✺
18.08.25	Tirsense - Vianense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 WWWLT
- AD Machico
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
27.09.25	Machico - Tirsense	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
21.09.25	Machico - Vila Real	0:2 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
14.09.25	Chaves B - Machico	3:1 ✺
07.09.25	Machico - Mirandela	3:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
30.08.25	São Martinho - Machico	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLWW

Vianense - Machico: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide