Match Info

SWEDEN: SUPERETTAN - ROUND 30

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Discovery+


	Brage		Jönköpings Södra

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.3	2.7	Watch
	2.35	3.4	2.65
	2.4	3.5	2.8	Watch
	2.48	3.65	2.82
	2.41	3.59	2.77
	2.2	3.5	2.6	Watch
	2.43	3.54	2.6	Watch
	2.35	3.45	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (3.05)	3.49 ↓ (3.63)	2.7 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brage
39.1%

Draw
26.6%

Jönköpings Södra
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

25.7%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

26%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brage has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brage's performance.

Jönköpings Södra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jönköpings Södra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brage than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brage that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jönköpings Södra than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jönköpings Södra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	10%	40%

Brage - Jönköpings Södra Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Brage will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Jönköping will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brage: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Bernardini A. (G) 3. Gayi E. 2. Zetterstrom A. (C) 5. Rodin P. 23. Redenstrand C. 10. Berggren G. 14. Stensson J. 21. Sletsjoe H. 17. Jonsson P. 19. Nyarko K. 7. Tot Wikstrom E.	1. Nilsson A. (G) 4. Manns J. 15. Eriksson A. 3. Berntsson A. 7. Moenza M. 6. Karlin A. 24. Nikolic M. 8. Adrian S. 10. Book R. (C) 9. Silverholt T. 23. Karim H. S.
Substitutes
11. Arvidsson J. 1. Frodig V. (G) 8. Hellberg S. 16. Izountouemoi S. 4. Persson M. 22. Tamimi J. 6. Titi A.	16. Bjurnemark A. 31. Celic D. (G) 2. Engdahl B. 30. Eriksson A. (G) 27. Nordstrom E. 12. Strandsater D. 18. Thorsson A. 13. Zekovic S.
Coaches
Saarenpaa K.	Garcia Rodriguez O.

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 7 and 13 in the zone Superettan (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Brage won 1.

Recent matches Brage is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Jönköping is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Brage won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 15-29.

Including matches at home between the teams Brage won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-16.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IK Brage
Swedish Superettan
04.11.23	Helsingborg - Brage	2:0 ✺
29.10.23	Öster - Brage	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Brage - AFC Eskilstuna	4:0 ✺
08.10.23	Sundsvall - Brage	1:2 ✺
02.10.23	Brage - Skövde AIK	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LLWWW
- Jönköpings Södra
Swedish Superettan
05.11.23	Jönköpings Södra - GAIS	0:2 ✺
28.10.23	AFC Eskilstuna - Jönköpings Södra	2:2 ✺
23.10.23	Jönköpings Södra - Skövde AIK	2:2 ✺
07.10.23	Västerås SK - Jönköpings Södra	3:1 ✺
02.10.23	Jönköpings Södra - Östersund	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
27.05.23	Jönköpings Södra - Brage	4:1
11.10.22	Jönköpings Södra - Brage	1:1
18.04.22	Brage - Jönköpings Södra	1:2
25.09.21	Jönköpings Södra - Brage	0:0
08.08.21	Brage - Jönköpings Södra	3:2
26.10.20	Brage - Jönköpings Södra	1:4
25.07.20	Jönköpings Södra - Brage	2:0

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