Match Info

Superettan - Round 24

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Domnarvsvallen (Borlange)

Referee: Lindh P. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play


	Brage		Sandviken

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.5	2.7
	2.65	3.40	2.35
	2.4	3.4	2.65
	2.44	3.7	2.85
	2.53	3.56	2.58	Watch
	2.35	3.6	2.8
	2.44	3.49	2.69	Watch
	2.35	3.4	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.15)	3.51 ↓ (3.58)	2.65 ↓ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brage
38.1%

Draw
26.7%

Sandviken
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.9%

25.8%

31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

25.8%

31.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brage has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Sandviken has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brage than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sandviken than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	14.3%	71.4%

Brage - Sandviken Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Brage will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Sandviken will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (1.53) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Frodig V. (G) 7. Stensson J. 2. Zetterstrom A. (C) 22. Stagaard T. 17. Jonsson P. 12. Mortensen A. 20. Okeke V. 6. Madsen L. 8. Sporrong A. 11. Lundin A. 9. Trpcevski F.	1. Sveijer H. (G) 26. Tagesson L. 23. Harletun K. 2. Thorn G. (C) 16. Abubakari M. 22. Bergman D. 15. Andersson F. 11. Backman V. 12. Carleton A. 24. Yaliso Yaya Y. 7. Arvidsson J.
Substitutes
28. Granstrom G. 30. Guadagno J. (G) 24. Hellblom A. 5. Konjuhi L. 21. Ostberg N. 25. Pihlstrom A. 19. Sise M. 14. Skille J. 15. Stark O.	8. Bohm K. 13. Lindholm I. 14. Mahammed M. 17. Nilsson W. 27. Persson A. (G) 18. Rogers C. 6. Vabo L. 20. Vainio N. 9. Wagner C.
Coaches
Kallberg G.	Lagerlof T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
28', 1 - 0, Sporrong A. ⚽, Mortensen A. (A),
39', 1 - 1, Carleton A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Abubakari M. ↓, Nilsson W. ↑,
58', Backman V. ↓, Wagner C. ↑,
58', Madsen L. 🟨,
62', Mortensen A. ↓, Granstrom G. ↑,
62', Okeke V. ↓, Ostberg N. ↑,
63', Lundin A. 🟨,
71', Bergman D. ↓, Vainio N. ↑,
71', Yaliso Yaya Y. ↓, Mahammed M. ↑,
74', Granstrom G. 🟨,
75', Lundin A. ↓, Sise M. ↑,
79', Harletun K. ↓, Rogers C. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brage won 2.

Brage has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sandviken has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Brage won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 24:16. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Brage won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Sandviken	25	10	7	8	43:33	10	37
15	Brage	25	5	8	12	39:48	-9	23

Last Results with these Odds

Brage - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 42.87%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Sandviken - the odds 2.94 are the expected chance of winning is 31.35%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IK Brage
Swedish Superettan
10.09.26	Östersund - Brage	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Brage - Sundsvall	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Falkenberg - Brage	4:1 ✺
23.08.26	Brage - United Nordic	1:2 ✺
Svenska Cupen
18.08.26	Karlberg - Brage	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLLLL
- Sandvikens IF
Swedish Superettan
09.09.26	Sandviken - Oddevold	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Helsingborg - Sandviken	0:2 ✺
30.08.26	Sandviken - Öster	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Norrby - Sandviken	1:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
18.08.26	Karlstad - Sandviken	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
14.06.26	Sandviken - Brage	3:2
02.08.25	Sandviken - Brage	2:5
27.06.25	Brage - Sandviken	1:2
28.09.24	Brage - Sandviken	1:2
04.05.24	Sandviken - Brage	0:1
Club Friendly
11.02.23	Brage - Sandviken	3:1
29.01.22	Brage - Sandviken	0:0

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