Match Info

Superettan - Round 21

Date: 29 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Falcon Alkoholfri Arena (Falkenberg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Falkenberg		Brage

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.60	3.90
	1.72	3.70	4.10
	1.72	3.70	3.90
	1.81	3.97	4.45
	2	3.61	3.5	Watch
	1.75	3.90	4.30
	1.81	3.72	4.03	Watch
	1.72	3.65	4.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.99)	3.73 ↑ (3.65)	4.04 ↑ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Falkenberg
52.1%

Draw
24.9%

Brage
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

24.9%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

23.9%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Falkenberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Falkenberg's performance.

Brage has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brage might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Falkenberg than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brage than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brage could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Falkenberg - Brage Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Falkenberg will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Brage will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Brage (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Brage (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (1.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Brage (1.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Brage (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Lillienberg G. (G) 6. Borgstrom L. 4. Stalheden T. (C) 23. Salo A. 8. Bertilsson N. 18. Sangare L. 30. Aguda G. 28. Nilsson M. 10. Mohammad E. 9. Andersson A. 11. Kallstrom H.	1. Frodig V. (G) 21. Ostberg N. 2. Zetterstrom A. (C) 22. Stagaard T. 24. Hellblom A. 6. Madsen L. 5. Konjuhi L. 28. Granstrom G. 15. Stark O. 19. Sise M. 8. Sporrong A.
Substitutes
25. Alexandersson G. 1. Andersson A. (G) 21. Beqiri L. 5. Hansson N. 29. Komano H. 19. Lindberg O. 17. Miftari A. 12. Rupia-Ellis A. 14. Videhult W.	18. Dundar R. 13. Engdahl A. (G) 33. Fors I. 30. Guadagno J. (G) 17. Jonsson P. 11. Lundin A. 25. Pihlstrom A. 14. Skille J.
Coaches
Andersson C.	Kallberg G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Kallstrom H. ⚽, Mohammad E. (A),
12', 2 - 0, Kallstrom H. ⚽, Andersson A. (A),
15', Sise M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
50', Sangare L. 🟨,
59', Hellblom A. ↓, Jonsson P. ↑,
59', Stark O. ↓, Lundin A. ↑,
61', 3 - 0, Andersson A. ⚽, Bertilsson N. (A),
66', Sangare L. ↓, Lindberg O. ↑,
66', Mohammad E. ↓, Alexandersson G. ↑,
67', 3 - 1, Madsen L. ⚽, Jonsson P. (A),
71', Madsen L. ↓, Skille J. ↑,
84', Stagaard T. ↓, Fors I. ↑,
84', Bertilsson N. ↓, Miftari A. ↑,
84', Kallstrom H. ↓, Rupia-Ellis A. ↑,
85', Stalheden T. ↓, Hansson N. ↑,
90+1', 4 - 1, Andersson A. ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Falkenberg won 3.

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Falkenberg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Falkenberg might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Falkenberg won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 18:12. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Falkenberg won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).

Outrights of Swedish Superettan for now

Falkenberg: 5.63%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Falkenberg	25	13	6	6	46:33	13	45
15	Brage	25	5	8	12	39:48	-9	23

Last Results with these Odds

Falkenberg - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 45.7%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Falkenbergs FF
Swedish Superettan
24.08.26	Norrköping - Falkenberg	2:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
18.08.26	IFK Skövde - Falkenberg	3:2 penalties ✺
Swedish Superettan
15.08.26	Falkenberg - Norrby	2:0 ✺
08.08.26	Falkenberg - United Nordic	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Varbergs BoIS - Falkenberg	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWTL
- IK Brage
Swedish Superettan
23.08.26	Brage - United Nordic	1:2 ✺
Svenska Cupen
18.08.26	Karlberg - Brage	2:0 ✺
Swedish Superettan
14.08.26	Brage - Örebro	3:3 ✺
08.08.26	Norrköping - Brage	3:0 ✺
01.08.26	Brage - Landskrona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
26.06.26	Brage - Falkenberg	2:4
09.08.25	Falkenberg - Brage	0:1
07.04.25	Brage - Falkenberg	0:2
27.11.21	Falkenberg - Brage	1:2
17.04.21	Brage - Falkenberg	0:1
28.09.18	Falkenberg - Brage	3:2
12.05.18	Brage - Falkenberg	3:4

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