Match Info

Superettan - Round 14

Date: 26 June 2026, Friday

Location: Domnarvsvallen (Borlange)

Referee: Alknas F. (Swe)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen


	Brage		Falkenberg

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.60	2.70	Watch
	2.30	3.50	2.65
	2.38	3.40	2.70
	2.48	3.65	2.84
	2.42	3.48	2.7	Watch
	2.40	3.50	2.75
	2.30	3.68	2.76	Watch
	2.31	3.40	2.70
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.4)	3.53 ↑ (3.45)	2.73 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brage
39.5%

Draw
26.4%

Falkenberg
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

26.7%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

26.5%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brage has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Falkenberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brage than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Falkenberg than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Brage - Falkenberg Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Brage will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Falkenberg will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Falkenberg (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Falkenberg (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Frodig V. (G) 23. Horberg F. 2. Zetterstrom A. (C) 22. Stagaard T. 24. Hellblom A. 17. Jonsson P. 12. Mortensen A. 28. Granstrom G. 20. Nordh G. 11. Lundin A. 9. Trpcevski F.	1. Andersson A. (G) 6. Borgstrom L. 4. Stalheden T. (C) 17. Miftari A. 8. Bertilsson N. 19. Lindberg O. 30. Aguda G. 28. Nilsson M. 10. Mohammad E. 11. Kallstrom H. 9. Andersson A.
Substitutes
19. Brkic H. 30. Guadagno J. (G) 5. Konjuhi L. 6. Madsen L. 21. Ostberg N. 4. Persson M. 25. Pihlstrom A. 14. Skille J. 15. Stark O.	25. Alexandersson G. 21. Beqiri L. 5. Hansson N. 2. Johansson G. 29. Komano H. 34. Linner O. (G) 3. Lundgren N. 23. Salo A. 14. Videhult W.
Coaches
Kallberg G.	Andersson C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', Zetterstrom A. ↓, Konjuhi L. ↑,
13', 1 - 0, Trpcevski F. ⚽, Nordh G. (A),
17', 1 - 1, Nilsson M. ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 1, Mortensen A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
51', 2 - 2, Kallstrom H. ⚽,
55', Stalheden T. ↓, Hansson N. ↑,
57', Stagaard T. 🟨,
58', 2 - 3, Mohammad E. ⚽, Kallstrom H. (A),
64', Trpcevski F. ↓, Skille J. ↑,
64', Hellblom A. ↓, Persson M. ↑,
64', Jonsson P. ↓, Brkic H. ↑,
67', Granstrom G. 🟨,
70', 2 - 4, Kallstrom H. ⚽, Andersson A. (A),
74', Lindberg O. ↓, Beqiri L. ↑,
74', Kallstrom H. ↓, Videhult W. ↑,
83', Lundin A. ↓, Stark O. ↑,
90+3', Bertilsson N. ↓, Johansson G. ↑,
90+3', Andersson A. ↓, Komano H. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Allsvenskan).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brage won 2.

In recent matches, Brage has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Falkenberg is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Brage won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:14. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Brage won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).

Outrights of Swedish Superettan for now

Falkenberg: 5.63%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Falkenberg	25	13	6	6	46:33	13	45
15	Brage	25	5	8	12	39:48	-9	23

Last Results with these Odds

Brage - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.34%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Falkenberg - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 34.99%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- IK Brage
Swedish Superettan
21.06.26	Brage - Värnamo	5:1 ✺
14.06.26	Sandviken - Brage	3:2 ✺
09.06.26	Brage - Ljungskile	2:2 ✺
30.05.26	Landskrona - Brage	2:2 ✺
23.05.26	United Nordic - Brage	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLTTL
- Falkenbergs FF
Swedish Superettan
21.06.26	Öster - Falkenberg	1:3 ✺
14.06.26	Falkenberg - Örebro	1:1 ✺
09.06.26	Sandviken - Falkenberg	4:2 ✺
30.05.26	Falkenberg - Oddevold	2:1 ✺
23.05.26	Falkenberg - Värnamo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Superettan
09.08.25	Falkenberg - Brage	0:1
07.04.25	Brage - Falkenberg	0:2
27.11.21	Falkenberg - Brage	1:2
17.04.21	Brage - Falkenberg	0:1
28.09.18	Falkenberg - Brage	3:2
12.05.18	Brage - Falkenberg	3:4
13.09.13	Brage - Falkenberg	0:1

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