Match Info

Superettan - Round 15

Date: 19 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Sodertalje Fotbollsarena (Södertälje)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	TV4 Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	United Nordic		Örebro

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.30	3.00	Watch
	1.96	3.50	3.40
	2.26	3.60	3.21
	1.96	3.77	3.47	Watch
	2.20	3.50	3.10
	2.18	3.43	3.12	Watch
	2.13	3.35	3.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.73)	3.49 ↓ (4.1)	3.19 ↓ (4.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

United Nordic
44.1%

Draw
26.7%

Örebro
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

22.8%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2%

22.3%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

United Nordic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that United Nordic's form might have worsened.

Örebro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Örebro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for United Nordic than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for United Nordic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Örebro than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Örebro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.9%	0%	9.1%

United Nordic - Örebro Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. United Nordic (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: United Nordic will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Dzevlan A. (G) 21. Swedi E. 2. Behnan M. 77. Gursac J. (C) 24. Johansson T. 20. Harabi A. 8. Gronborg T. 5. Andersson E. 74. Aphrem C. 9. Shhab S. 11. Fisic A.	75. Ojrzynski J. (G) 22. Bovalina G. 3. Sandberg V. (C) 32. Stenberg J. 11. Redenstrand C. 7. Wikman S. 5. Ortmark J. 8. Kusu M. 9. Yakoub A. 99. Yasin A. 10. Wiedesheim-Paul R.
Substitutes
4. Abadid L. 16. Daneyl N. 7. Eminovic A. 3. Fazal M. 18. Issa N. 1. Melkemichel A. (G) 25. Nesvik-Andersson L. 22. Soderberg N.	15. Astvald L. 14. Dana H. 2. Ghasem A. 17. Holmberg K. 18. Hrastovina E. 6. Ibrahimbegovic E. 30. Runheim B. (G) 12. Salihovic D. 21. Wahlstrom F.
Coaches
Younan S.	Norling R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Swedi E. ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, Aphrem C. ⚽, Fisic A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
66', Yakoub A. ↓, Holmberg K. ↑,
66', Kusu M. ↓, Ibrahimbegovic E. ↑,
73', Aphrem C. ↓, Soderberg N. ↑,
73', Fisic A. ↓, Eminovic A. ↑,
78', Ortmark J. ↓, Salihovic D. ↑,
78', Wikman S. ↓, Wahlstrom F. ↑,
81', Shhab S. ↓, Fazal M. ↑,
88', Bovalina G. ↓, Hrastovina E. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 7 and 14 in the zone Division 1 ~ Norra (Relegation)).

United Nordic has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Örebro is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, United Nordic is seen as the favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Nordic United	25	9	9	7	38:40	-2	36
14	Orebro	25	5	9	11	27:39	-12	24

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- United Nordic IK
Swedish Superettan
27.06.26	United Nordic - Oddevold	3:3 ✺
21.06.26	Norrby - United Nordic	0:0 ✺
16.06.26	Landskrona - United Nordic	2:0 ✺
09.06.26	United Nordic - Östersund	1:1 ✺
31.05.26	Värnamo - United Nordic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TTLTW
- Örebro SK
Swedish Superettan
27.06.26	Ljungskile - Örebro	3:2 ✺
22.06.26	Örebro - Sandviken	1:1 ✺
14.06.26	Falkenberg - Örebro	1:1 ✺
10.06.26	Örebro - Sundsvall	0:1 ✺
31.05.26	Östersund - Örebro	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTTLL

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