Match Info

National League - Round 17

Date: 5 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Rare Breed Meat Co. Stadium (Braintree)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Braintree Town		Brackley Town

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.4	2.63
	2.48	3.35	2.62
	2.42	3.45	2.88
	2.61	3.15	2.66	Watch
	2.39	3.32	2.56
	2.5	3.05	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.61)	3.29 ↑ (3.15)	2.65 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braintree Town
37.4%

Draw
28%

Brackley Town
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

29.5%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

28.8%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braintree Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Brackley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Braintree Town - Brackley Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Braintree will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Brackley will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Braintree: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Brackley Town will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Thompson J. (G) 17. Pinnington J. 4. Langston G. (C) 15. Smith T. 24. Terry F. 8. Marshall-Miranda M. 21. Clayton R. 11. Cooper C. 9. Walker L. 39. Thorpe E. 14. Akinde J.	1. Maxted J. (G) 2. Lyttle T. 6. Dean G. 19. Lilly Z. 12. Nottingham M. 4. Price J. (C) 23. Byrne S. 3. Calder R. 7. Pollock S. 11. Lowe M. 10. Roberts M.
Substitutes
16. Babic G. 20. Hubbard F. 18. Kamara S. 5. Omrore M. 6. Vennings J. 38. Works T.	8. Brown Z. 21. Gregory C. (G) 27. Hall C. 37. Haynes R. 5. Morrison K. 24. Stewart C. 14. Waldron D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Lilly Z. 🟨,
25', Thorpe E. ↓, Vennings J. ↑,
28', Vennings J. 🟨,
45+3', Terry F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Walker L. ↓, Babic G. ↑,
67', Nottingham M. ↓, Waldron D. ↑,
67', Roberts M. ↓, Stewart C. ↑,
76', Thompson J. 🟨,
76', 0 - 1, Byrne S. (Pen),
84', Clayton R. ↓, Works T. ↑,
84', Cooper C. 🟨,
85', Price J. 🟨,
90', Pinnington J. 🟨,
90+3', Babic G. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 17).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Braintree won 2.

Braintree is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Brackley has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Brackley has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Braintree won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Braintree won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Brackley Town - the odds 2.66 are the expected chance of winning is 34.92%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braintree Town
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Chelmsford City - Braintree Town	4:1 ✺
English National League
25.10.25	Braintree Town - Altrincham	0:0 ✺
English National League Cup
21.10.25	Braintree Town - West Bromwich Albion U21	2:3 ✺
English National League
18.10.25	Solihull Moors - Braintree Town	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Braintree Town - Farnborough	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLLW
- Brackley Town
English FA Cup
01.11.25	Brackley Town - Notts County	3:2 penalties ✺
English National League
25.10.25	Southend United - Brackley Town	2:0 ✺
English National League Cup
21.10.25	Brackley Town - Everton U21	1:2 penalties ✺
English National League
18.10.25	Brackley Town - Gateshead	0:0 ✺
English FA Cup
14.10.25	Brackley Town - Woking	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup
02.11.24	Brackley Town - Braintree Town	1:0 penalties
30.09.23	Braintree Town - Brackley Town	3:2
English FA Trophy
19.11.22	Braintree Town - Brackley Town	1:0
19.12.17	Brackley Town - Braintree Town	2:0
16.12.17	Braintree Town - Brackley Town	0:0
English FA Cup
30.09.17	Brackley Town - Braintree Town	4:1

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