Match Info

National League - Round 15

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: St James Park (Brackley)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Brackley Town		Gateshead

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.75	3.4
	1.98	3.65	3.3
	1.91	4.18	3.42
	4.38	2.84	2.02	Watch
	1.93	3.81	3.46
	1.94	3.55	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (1.92)	3.63 ↑ (3.53)	3.19 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brackley Town
42.1%

Draw
27.1%

Gateshead
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brackley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brackley Town's form might have worsened.

Gateshead has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brackley Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gateshead than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gateshead, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Brackley Town - Gateshead Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Brackley will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Brackley (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Maxted J. (G) 12. Nottingham M. 5. Morrison K. 6. Dean G. 19. Lilly Z. 37. Haynes R. 24. Stewart C. 7. Pollock S. 4. Price J. 11. Lowe M. 14. Waldron D.	1. Brooks T. (G) 20. John F. 6. Flint W. 15. Bakare I. 2. Johnson C. 17. Home J. 10. Butterfield J. 3. Ferguson D. 21. Hurst K. 32. Chapman H. 14. Nouble F.
Substitutes
3. Calder R. 17. Donawa J. 21. Gregory C. (G) 27. Hall C. 15. Hobson B. 2. Lyttle T. 9. Okafor M.	35. Bone C. 22. Edwards C. 13. Leech P. (G) 34. Melbourne M. 16. Pennant K. 5. Richardson K. 9. Telford D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Lilly Z. 🟥,
35', Cowan G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Pollock S. 🟨,
63', Waldron D. ↓, Lyttle T. ↑,
64', Flint W. 🟨,
68', Johnson C. ↓, Melbourne M. ↑,
69', Flint W. ↓, Richardson K. ↑,
69', Home J. ↓, Edwards C. ↑,
74', John F. 🟨,
75', Stewart C. ↓, Hobson B. ↑,
78', Butterfield J. ↓, Telford D. ↑,
82', Richardson K. ↓, Pennant K. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 16 and 14).

Brackley is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Gateshead has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Gateshead may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Brackley is seen as the favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brackley won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Brackley won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brackley Town
English FA Cup
14.10.25	Brackley Town - Woking	6:2 ✺
11.10.25	Woking - Brackley Town	1:1 ✺
English National League
04.10.25	Halifax Town - Brackley Town	2:0 ✺
01.10.25	Brackley Town - Wealdstone	0:2 ✺
27.09.25	Solihull Moors - Brackley Town	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WTLLL
- Gateshead
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Aveley - Gateshead	0:3 ✺
English National League
04.10.25	Gateshead - Boston United	1:3 ✺
30.09.25	Morecambe - Gateshead	2:5 ✺
27.09.25	Braintree Town - Gateshead	1:2 ✺
23.09.25	Gateshead - Hartlepool United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League North
02.04.22	Brackley Town - Gateshead	1:0
18.12.21	Gateshead - Brackley Town	2:0
14.11.20	Gateshead - Brackley Town	2:2
19.07.20	Brackley Town - Gateshead	1:1
31.08.19	Gateshead - Brackley Town	2:0

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