Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 27

Date: 6 January 2024, Saturday


	Braintree Town		Hampton & Richmond Borough

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	3.3
	1.95	3.5	3.6
	2.02	3.53	3.6
	1.99	3.53	3.6
	1.91	3.4	3.4
	1.97	3.48	3.56
	1.96	3.45	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.4)	3.46 ↑ (3.2)	3.49 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braintree Town
46.9%

Draw
26.7%

Hampton & Richmond Borough
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

28.1%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.8%

28.4%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braintree Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Braintree Town's performance.

Hampton & Richmond Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hampton & Richmond Borough might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Braintree Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hampton & Richmond Borough than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hampton & Richmond Borough could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Braintree Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Braintree won 3.

Braintree is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hampton & Richmond is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Braintree will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Braintree won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Braintree won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braintree Town
English National League South
01.01.24	Chelmsford City - Braintree Town	3:0 ✺
26.12.23	Braintree Town - Chelmsford City	0:3 ✺
23.12.23	Farnborough - Braintree Town	1:0 ✺
16.12.23	Braintree Town - Aveley	1:0 ✺
05.12.23	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Braintree Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLLWT
- Hampton & Richmond Borough
English National League South
01.01.24	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Slough Town	2:1 ✺
26.12.23	Slough Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	3:3 ✺
23.12.23	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Weston-super-Mare	2:1 ✺
16.12.23	Yeovil Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
09.12.23	Southend United - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
05.12.23	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Braintree Town	1:1
04.03.23	Braintree Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:0
29.10.22	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Braintree Town	0:3
02.04.22	Braintree Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:1
18.01.22	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Braintree Town	2:4
30.11.19	Braintree Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:4
13.05.18	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Braintree Town	1:1 ET

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