Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 31

Date: 8 February 2025, Saturday


	Hampton & Richmond Borough		Truro City

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	2.5	3.05	2.55
	2.63	3.15	2.65
	2.67	3.18	2.66
	2.5	3.1	2.75
	2.57	3.22	2.56
	2.5	3.05	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.06)	3.12 ↓ (3.26)	2.6 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hampton & Richmond Borough
35.7%

Draw
29.2%

Truro City
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

28%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

28.1%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hampton & Richmond Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hampton & Richmond Borough's form might have worsened.

Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Truro City's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hampton & Richmond Borough than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hampton & Richmond Borough, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Truro City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Hampton & Richmond Borough - Truro City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
26', 0 - 1, Harrison T. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
55', 0 - 2, Jephcott L. ⚽,
75', Wall A. 🟨,
77', 0 - 3, Kabia J. (Pen),
85', 1 - 3, Williams A. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 9 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Hampton & Richmond won 3.

Hampton & Richmond is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Truro is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Truro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Hampton & Richmond won 6 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18:14 (average 1.5:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Hampton & Richmond won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1.4:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hampton & Richmond Borough
English National League South
04.02.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Dorking Wanderers	2:2 ✺
28.01.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Weymouth	2:0 ✺
25.01.25	Torquay United - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:1 ✺
21.01.25	Boreham Wood - Hampton & Richmond Borough	3:1 ✺
18.01.25	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Tonbridge Angels	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWWLW
- Truro City
English National League South
01.02.25	Truro City - Bath City	0:0 ✺
25.01.25	Hemel Hempstead Town - Truro City	3:0 ✺
18.01.25	Truro City - Aveley	2:1 ✺
11.01.25	Eastbourne Borough - Truro City	0:0 ✺
04.01.25	Truro City - Hornchurch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
19.10.24	Truro City - Hampton & Richmond Borough	3:0
03.02.24	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Truro City	2:1
19.08.23	Truro City - Hampton & Richmond Borough	1:2
22.04.19	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Truro City	2:2
15.09.18	Truro City - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:2
02.05.18	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Truro City	3:1 ET
28.04.18	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Truro City	1:1

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