The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Hampton & Richmond Borough 20.9%
Draw 24.2%
Truro City 54.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
21.3%
24.5%
54.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.8%
23.9%
55.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hampton & Richmond Borough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hampton & Richmond Borough than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Hampton & Richmond Borough - Truro City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
26', 1 - 0, Waweru W. ⚽,
35', 1 - 1, Dean T. ⚽,
41', 2 - 1, Siaw B. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
52', 3 - 1, Waweru W. ⚽,
66', 3 - 2, Harvey T. ⚽,
69', 3 - 3, Starkie B. ⚽,
77', 3 - 4, Harvey T. ⚽,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 22nd in the Relegation and 5th in the Promotion - National League South Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hampton & Richmond won 2.
Hampton & Richmond is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Truro shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Hampton & Richmond could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Truro is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Hampton & Richmond has recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 19:17 (averaging 1.5:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Hampton & Richmond against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 11:12 goals (averaging 1.4:1.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Truro
13
8
3
2
24:12
12
27
22
Hampton & Richmond
13
2
3
8
16:32
-16
9
Outrights of English National League South for now
Truro: 8.31% Hampton & Richmond: 0.75%
Last Results with these Odds
Hampton & Richmond Borough - the odds 4.2 are the expected chance of winning is 21.29%, but this team recently wins 11% of matches with these odds.