The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Braintree Town 20.9%
Draw 23.3%
Truro City 55.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
21.2%
23.3%
55.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.2%
22.2%
58.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Braintree Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
Truro City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Truro City than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Braintree Town - Truro City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 1 - 0, Senior C. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Kinsey M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 1 - 2, Dean W. ⚽,
Preview
A struggling side attempts to pull off an upset against a high-flying opponent (ranked 21st in the Relegation and 4th in the Promotion - National League South Playoffs - Quarter - finals).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Braintree won 4.
Braintree is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Truro is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Bookmakers give the edge to Truro for this game.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Braintree has recorded 5 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 14:9 (averaging 2:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Braintree against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 6:3 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
2
Truro
13
8
3
2
24:12
12
27
20
Braintree
13
4
1
8
20:34
-14
13
Outrights of English National League South for now
Truro: 8.31% Braintree: 0.75%
Last Results with these Odds
Braintree Town - the odds 4.3 are the expected chance of winning is 21.21%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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