Match Info

National League South - Round 9

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Rare Breed Meat Co. Stadium (Braintree)


	Braintree Town		Maidstone United

	1	X	2
	4.00	3.75	1.66
	4.20	3.65	1.66
	4.37	4.67	1.66
	3.81	4.11	1.77	Watch
	3.95	4.60	1.64
	4.30	4.15	1.60
	4.10	3.80	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.1 ↓ (4.53)	4.1 ↑ (3.99)	1.67 ↑ (1.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Braintree Town
22.4%

Draw
22.4%

Maidstone United
55.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

23.3%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.4%

23.1%

56.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Braintree Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Maidstone United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braintree Town than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maidstone United than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Braintree Town - Maidstone United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
64', 1 - 0, Matthews A. ⚽,
79', 2 - 0, Matthews A. (Penalty Awarded),
90+5', 2 - 1, Leahy T. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 20 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Braintree won 1.

Braintree has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Maidstone is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Maidstone is considered a favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Braintree won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Braintree won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Maidstone: 9.77% Braintree: 0.78%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Maidstone	10	6	1	3	18:11	7	19
21	Braintree	10	3	1	6	17:25	-8	10

Last Results with these Odds

Maidstone United - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 56.25%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Braintree Town
English National League Cup
08.09.26	Braintree Town - Fulham U21	2:1 ✺
English National League South
05.09.26	Slough Town - Braintree Town	1:2 ✺
31.08.26	Braintree Town - Farnborough	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Dover Athletic - Braintree Town	3:3 ✺
22.08.26	Braintree Town - Horsham	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWLTL
- Maidstone United
English National League South
08.09.26	Tonbridge Angels - Maidstone United	0:1 ✺
05.09.26	Maidstone United - Weston-super-Mare	1:0 ✺
31.08.26	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Maidstone United	1:4 ✺
29.08.26	Maidstone United - Salisbury	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Dorking Wanderers - Maidstone United	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
23.01.24	Maidstone United - Braintree Town	1:1
15.08.23	Braintree Town - Maidstone United	1:2
19.03.22	Braintree Town - Maidstone United	1:2
08.03.22	Maidstone United - Braintree Town	1:0
19.01.21	Maidstone United - Braintree Town	0:2
08.02.20	Maidstone United - Braintree Town	1:0
29.10.19	Braintree Town - Maidstone United	1:1

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