Match Info

National League South - Round 8

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Longmead Stadium (Tonbridge)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
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United-kingdom	DAZN
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Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	DAZN


	Tonbridge Angels		Maidstone United

	1	X	2
	2.80	3.25	2.15
	2.88	3.20	2.18
	2.89	3.58	2.32
	2.89	3.57	2.26	Watch
	2.85	3.50	2.25
	2.85	3.38	2.21
	2.90	3.35	2.19
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↓ (2.88)	3.4 ↑ (3.15)	2.22 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tonbridge Angels
31.9%

Draw
26.9%

Maidstone United
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

28.4%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.5%

27.9%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tonbridge Angels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Maidstone United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tonbridge Angels than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maidstone United than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Tonbridge Angels - Maidstone United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
79', 0 - 1, Leahy T. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tonbridge won 1.

Tonbridge is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Maidstone is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tonbridge won 2 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:16. (average 0.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tonbridge won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.5:0.9).

Outrights of English National League South for now

Maidstone: 9.77% Tonbridge: 2.3%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Maidstone	10	6	1	3	18:11	7	19
10	Tonbridge	10	4	2	4	19:11	8	14

Last Results with these Odds

Tonbridge Angels - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 31.02%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Maidstone United - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 40.61%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tonbridge Angels
English National League South
05.09.26	Farnborough - Tonbridge Angels	0:4 ✺
31.08.26	Tonbridge Angels - Walton & Hersham	5:1 ✺
29.08.26	Billericay Town - Tonbridge Angels	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Tonbridge Angels - Truro City	0:2 ✺
18.08.26	Dover Athletic - Tonbridge Angels	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWTLW
- Maidstone United
English National League South
05.09.26	Maidstone United - Weston-super-Mare	1:0 ✺
31.08.26	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Maidstone United	1:4 ✺
29.08.26	Maidstone United - Salisbury	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Dorking Wanderers - Maidstone United	2:3 ✺
18.08.26	Maidstone United - Folkestone Invicta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
31.01.26	Tonbridge Angels - Maidstone United	1:1
01.11.25	Maidstone United - Tonbridge Angels	1:2
21.04.25	Maidstone United - Tonbridge Angels	1:1
26.12.24	Tonbridge Angels - Maidstone United	1:3
01.01.24	Maidstone United - Tonbridge Angels	2:0
26.12.23	Tonbridge Angels - Maidstone United	1:1
02.01.22	Maidstone United - Tonbridge Angels	2:0

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