Match Info

Brasiliense - Round 7

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Bezerrão (Gama)


	Brasília		Capital CF Ltda

	1	X	2
	15.5	5.7	1.15
	13.53	5.78	1.14
	14.59	5.59	1.18	Watch
	19	5	1.18
	16.5	5.6	1.14
	17	5.66	1.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	16.02 ↑ (7.35)	5.56 ↑ (4.3)	1.16 ↓ (1.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brasília
5.6%

Draw
16.2%

Capital CF Ltda
78.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.3%

21%

66.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.9%

20.3%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brasília has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brasília's form might have worsened.

Capital CF Ltda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Capital CF Ltda's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasília than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brasília, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Capital CF Ltda than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Capital CF Ltda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Brasília - Capital CF Ltda Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Brasília (3.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Brasília (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 0 - 2, ⚽,
61', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ Brasiliense 2 and 5).

Brasília is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Capital's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Capital is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Brasília won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 1:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brasília FC
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
07.02.26	Samambaia - Brasília	4:1 ✺
31.01.26	ARUC - Brasília	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Brasília - Ceilândia	1:2 ✺
21.01.26	Paranoá - Brasília	1:0 ✺
17.01.26	Brasília - Gama	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLLL
- Capital CF Ltda
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
07.02.26	Ceilândia - Capital CF Ltda	0:3 ✺
31.01.26	Capital CF Ltda - Sobradinho	2:3 ✺
24.01.26	Paranoá - Capital CF Ltda	0:3 ✺
21.01.26	Capital CF Ltda - Real Brasilia	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	ARUC - Capital CF Ltda	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
05.03.23	Capital CF Ltda - Brasília	3:1
05.02.22	Capital CF Ltda - Brasília	4:1

Brasília - Capital CF Ltda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide