Match Info

Brasiliense - Round 5

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Juscelino Kubitschek (Paranoá)


	Capital CF Ltda		Sobradinho

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.4	4.95
	1.59	3.47	5.27
	1.62	3.53	5.2	Watch
	1.65	3.25	5
	1.61	3.94	5.18
	1.6	3.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.46)	3.52 ↓ (3.86)	5.1 ↓ (6.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Capital CF Ltda
56.3%

Draw
25.9%

Sobradinho
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

23.7%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Capital CF Ltda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Capital CF Ltda's form might have worsened.

Sobradinho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Capital CF Ltda - Sobradinho Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
85', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90', 2 - 2, ⚽,
90+8', 2 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals))

In this match, Capital is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Capital won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Capital won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Capital CF Ltda
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
24.01.26	Paranoá - Capital CF Ltda	0:3 ✺
21.01.26	Capital CF Ltda - Real Brasilia	0:1 ✺
17.01.26	ARUC - Capital CF Ltda	0:3 ✺
11.01.26	Capital CF Ltda - Samambaia	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
26.07.25	Aparecidense - Capital CF Ltda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLWTL
- Sobradinho EC
Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
25.01.26	Sobradinho - ARUC	2:1 ✺
21.01.26	Brasiliense - Sobradinho	0:0 ✺
17.01.26	Sobradinho - Paranoá	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Ceilândia - Sobradinho	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Sobradinho - Legião	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense
01.02.25	Sobradinho - Capital CF Ltda	1:1
18.03.20	Capital CF Ltda - Sobradinho	4:0
27.01.19	Sobradinho - Capital CF Ltda	3:0

Capital CF Ltda - Sobradinho: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide