Match Info

Date: 19 August 2021, Thursday


	Brasil de Pelotas		CS Alagoano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4	2.95	1.98
	3.95	2.8	2	Watch
	4.1	2.75	2.08
	4.4	2.89	2.17
	4.2	2.75	2.05
	4.2	2.93	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.14 ↑ (3.25)	2.85 ↓ (2.93)	2.06 ↓ (2.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brasil de Pelotas
22.4%

Draw
32.6%

CS Alagoano
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.6%

31.8%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

23.1%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brasil de Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brasil de Pelotas's form might have worsened.

CS Alagoano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CS Alagoano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CS Alagoano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	30%	50%

Brasil de Pelotas - CS Alagoano Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Brasil de Pelotas will win (votes: 8 - 20%). CSA will win (votes: 20 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for CSA: 34.5% – 65.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C and 12).

Brasil de Pelotas has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches CSA is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

CSA will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Brasil de Pelotas won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Brasil de Pelotas won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Serie B
15.08.21	Botafogo RJ - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0 ✺
11.08.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Coritiba	0:2 ✺
06.08.21	Guarani - Brasil de Pelotas	2:0 ✺
31.07.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Sampaio Corrêa	1:2 ✺
25.07.21	Avaí - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LLLLT
- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie B
14.08.21	CS Alagoano - Coritiba	3:0 ✺
10.08.21	Confiança - CS Alagoano	0:2 ✺
07.08.21	CS Alagoano - Avaí	0:0 ✺
01.08.21	Remo - CS Alagoano	1:0 ✺
27.07.21	Botafogo RJ - CS Alagoano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
22.01.21	CS Alagoano - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1
23.10.20	Brasil de Pelotas - CS Alagoano	1:1
23.10.18	CS Alagoano - Brasil de Pelotas	2:0
05.07.18	Brasil de Pelotas - CS Alagoano	0:2

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