Match Info

Date: 27 July 2021, Tuesday


	Botafogo RJ		CS Alagoano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.2
	2.23	2.95	3.1	Watch
	2.11	3	3.55
	2.21	3.16	3.77
	2.15	3	3.4
	2.17	3.22	3.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.89)	3.07 ↓ (3.19)	3.42 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo RJ
42.8%

Draw
30.1%

CS Alagoano
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

29.2%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

20.7%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Botafogo RJ's form might have worsened.

CS Alagoano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting CS Alagoano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botafogo RJ that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.6%	13.8%	27.6%

Botafogo RJ - CS Alagoano Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 17 - 58.6%). CSA will win (votes: 8 - 27.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 13.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo: 40.7% – 76.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 12 and 11).

Botafogo is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

CSA is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

CSA could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Botafogo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Botafogo won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie B
24.07.21	Confiança - Botafogo RJ	0:1 ✺
20.07.21	Botafogo RJ - Goiás	0:2 ✺
17.07.21	Brusque - Botafogo RJ	2:1 ✺
10.07.21	Botafogo RJ - Cruzeiro	3:3 ✺
06.07.21	CRB Maceio - Botafogo RJ	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLTL
- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie B
24.07.21	CS Alagoano - Vitória Salvador	2:1 ✺
21.07.21	CS Alagoano - Vasco da Gama	2:2 ✺
17.07.21	Operário Ferroviario - CS Alagoano	0:2 ✺
14.07.21	CS Alagoano - Goiás	0:1 ✺
11.07.21	Brusque - CS Alagoano	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
21.10.19	Botafogo RJ - CS Alagoano	2:1
09.06.19	CS Alagoano - Botafogo RJ	1:2

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