Match Info

Date: 11 August 2021, Wednesday


	Brasil de Pelotas		Coritiba

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.8	2.9	2.05
	3.6	3.1	1.95	Watch
	3.9	2.8	2.11
	4.2	2.96	2.18
	3.9	2.8	2.1
	3.98	2.96	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.9 ↑ (3.6)	2.92 ↓ (3.07)	2.09 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brasil de Pelotas
23.8%

Draw
31.8%

Coritiba
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.8%

30.2%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

19.8%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brasil de Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (+15.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brasil de Pelotas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-15.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Coritiba, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	25%	60.7%

Brasil de Pelotas - Coritiba Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Brasil de Pelotas will win (votes: 4 - 14.3%). Coritiba will win (votes: 17 - 60.7%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Coritiba: 42.6% – 78.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).

Brasil de Pelotas is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Coritiba is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Coritiba could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Coritiba is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Brasil de Pelotas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 0-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Brasil de Pelotas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Serie B
06.08.21	Guarani - Brasil de Pelotas	2:0 ✺
31.07.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Sampaio Corrêa	1:2 ✺
25.07.21	Avaí - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1 ✺
21.07.21	Náutico Capibaribe - Brasil de Pelotas	2:1 ✺
17.07.21	Brasil de Pelotas - Vitória Salvador	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 LLTLW
- Coritiba
Brazilian Serie B
06.08.21	Coritiba - Goiás	1:1 ✺
03.08.21	Brusque - Coritiba	0:0 ✺
30.07.21	Coritiba - Náutico Capibaribe	3:1 ✺
25.07.21	Operário Ferroviario - Coritiba	1:0 ✺
22.07.21	Coritiba - CRB Maceio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
12.11.19	Brasil de Pelotas - Coritiba	0:2
13.08.19	Coritiba - Brasil de Pelotas	2:0
27.08.18	Brasil de Pelotas - Coritiba	0:1
08.05.18	Coritiba - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0

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