Match Info

Gaucho 2 - Round 9

Date: 6 September 2026, Sunday


	Brasil de Pelotas		Lajeadense

	1	X	2
	1.38	3.55	8.2
	1.36	3.59	10.25
	1.41	3.55	9.64
	1.34	3.6	10
	1.33	4.32	10.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.45)	3.72 ↑ (3.55)	9.68 ↑ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brasil de Pelotas
66.3%

Draw
24.3%

Lajeadense
9.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60%

24.5%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

23.1%

14.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brasil de Pelotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brasil de Pelotas's performance.

Lajeadense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lajeadense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lajeadense than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lajeadense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Brasil de Pelotas - Lajeadense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Gaucho 3).

Brasil de Pelotas has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lajeadense has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Lajeadense may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Lajeadense has had a series of away games.

In this match, Brasil de Pelotas is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Brasil de Pelotas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Brasil de Pelotas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
01.09.26	APAFUT - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1 ✺
27.08.26	Brasil de Pelotas - Brasil de Farroupilha	2:2 ✺
22.08.26	Brasil de Pelotas - Aimoré	1:0 ✺
19.08.26	Esportivo Bento Gonçalves - Brasil de Pelotas	2:1 ✺
12.08.26	Brasil de Pelotas - Gramadense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 TTWLT
- CE Lajeadense
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho 2
01.09.26	EC Guarani - Lajeadense	1:0 ✺
20.08.26	Gramadense - Lajeadense	1:1 ✺
16.08.26	Lajeadense - Passo Fundo	0:3 ✺
12.08.26	Brasil de Farroupilha - Lajeadense	3:1 ✺
05.08.26	GE Bagé - Lajeadense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
21.02.16	Lajeadense - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1
08.04.15	Brasil de Pelotas - Lajeadense	2:1
22.02.15	Lajeadense - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1

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