Match Info

Date: 15 October 2020, Thursday


	Brasil de Pelotas		São Caetano

	1	X	2
	1.78	3.25	4.2
	1.71	3.45	4.2
	1.67	3.45	4.25
	1.8	3.1	4.33
	1.76	3.54	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.75)	3.36 ↑ (3.15)	4.25 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brasil de Pelotas
51.8%

Draw
26.9%

São Caetano
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.9%

28.8%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

20.7%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brasil de Pelotas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brasil de Pelotas's performance.

São Caetano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and São Caetano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brasil de Pelotas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for São Caetano than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that São Caetano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	8.8%	8.8%

Brasil de Pelotas - São Caetano Predictions

Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Brasil de Pelotas will win (votes: 28 - 82.4%). São Caetano will win (votes: 3 - 8.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brasil de Pelotas: 69.6% – 95.2%.

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Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Brasil de Pelotas could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Brasil de Pelotas will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Serie D
10.10.20	São Luiz - Brasil de Pelotas	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
10.10.20	Juventude - Brasil de Pelotas	1:2 ✺
06.10.20	Avaí - Brasil de Pelotas	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
04.10.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Joinville	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
03.10.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Chapecoense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TWLWL
- AD São Caetano
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
12.10.20	São Caetano - São Bento	1:1 penalties ✺
09.10.20	São Bento - São Caetano	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
06.10.20	São Caetano - Náutico Marcílio Dias	0:0 ✺
03.10.20	Atlético Tubarão - São Caetano	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
30.09.20	São Caetano - Piracicaba	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWTLW

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