Match Info

Date: 3 October 2020, Saturday


	Brasil de Pelotas		Chapecoense

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.8	2.3	Watch
	3.35	2.7	2.25	Watch
	3.4	2.55	2.45
	3.69	2.64	2.6
	3.2	2.7	2.55
	3.22	2.83	2.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (3.29)	2.7 ↓ (2.82)	2.45 ↓ (2.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brasil de Pelotas
27.8%

Draw
34.3%

Chapecoense
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

33.2%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

22%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brasil de Pelotas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasil de Pelotas than the current prediction. (+15.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Brasil de Pelotas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (-12.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chapecoense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Brasil de Pelotas - Chapecoense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 5).

Recent matches Brasil de Pelotas is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chapecoense is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brasil de Pelotas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Chapecoense will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brasil de Pelotas
Brazilian Serie D
01.10.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Caxias	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
30.09.20	Confiança - Brasil de Pelotas	1:1 ✺
26.09.20	Brasil de Pelotas - Paraná Clube Curitiba	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
26.09.20	Grêmio Novorizontino - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
21.09.20	Botafogo SP - Brasil de Pelotas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 LTTLW
- Chapecoense-SC
Brazilian Serie B
29.09.20	Paraná Clube Curitiba - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
25.09.20	Chapecoense - América Mineiro	0:0 ✺
18.09.20	Náutico Capibaribe - Chapecoense	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Catarinense
13.09.20	Brusque - Chapecoense	0:1 ✺
09.09.20	Chapecoense - Brusque	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TTTWW

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