Match Info

Date: 12 September 2021, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Brasiliense		Ferroviária

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.1	1.95
	3.15	3.45	1.98
	3.75	3.15	1.84
	3.83	3.18	1.86
	3.1	3.4	1.95
	3.92	3.3	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.56 ↑ (3.16)	3.26 ↑ (2.96)	1.91 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brasiliense
25.3%

Draw
27.6%

Ferroviária
47.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.5%

30.5%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

23.3%

54.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brasiliense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ferroviária's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brasiliense than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ferroviária could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Brasiliense is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ferroviária is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ferroviária could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ferroviária will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brasiliense FC
Brazilian Serie D
04.09.21	Goianésia - Brasiliense	1:1 ✺
28.08.21	Brasiliense - Porto Velho	2:1 ✺
22.08.21	Nova Mutum - Brasiliense	1:0 ✺
14.08.21	Brasiliense - União Rondonópolis	2:3 ✺
07.08.21	Gama - Brasiliense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 TWLLW
- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Serie D
05.09.21	Uberlândia - Ferroviária	1:1 ✺
28.08.21	Ferroviária - Caldense	3:1 ✺
22.08.21	Rio Branco-VN - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
14.08.21	Ferroviária - Rio Branco AC ES	2:0 ✺
06.08.21	Águia Negra - Ferroviária	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWTWW

Brasiliense - Ferroviária

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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