Match Info

Date: 4 June 2022, Saturday


	Ferroviária		Caldense

	1	X	2
	1.35	4.5	7.25
	1.3	4.75	7.5
	1.32	4.3	7
	1.31	4.78	7.23
	1.3	4	9
	1.33	4.6	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.47)	4.49 ↑ (3.67)	7.75 ↑ (5.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ferroviária
68.3%

Draw
20.1%

Caldense
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.8%

24.3%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

22.9%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ferroviária's performance.

Caldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caldense than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

Ferroviária - Caldense Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ferroviária will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Caldense will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

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Preview

Recent matches Ferroviária is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Caldense has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Ferroviária is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ferroviária won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Ferroviária won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Associação Ferroviária de Esportes
Brazilian Serie D
28.05.22	Caldense - Ferroviária	1:2 ✺
21.05.22	Ferroviária - Pouso Alegre	0:1 ✺
14.05.22	Ferroviária - Internacional de Limeira	1:1 ✺
30.04.22	Ferroviária - Noroeste	1:2 ✺
24.04.22	Bahia de Feira - Ferroviária	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 WLTLT
- AA Caldense
Brazilian Serie D
28.05.22	Caldense - Ferroviária	1:2 ✺
22.05.22	Nova Venécia - Caldense	3:1
15.05.22	Caldense - URT	1:1 ✺
07.05.22	Pouso Alegre - Caldense	1:0 ✺
30.04.22	Caldense - Bahia de Feira	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
28.05.22	Caldense - Ferroviária	1:2
28.08.21	Ferroviária - Caldense	3:1
13.06.21	Caldense - Ferroviária	0:1

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