Match Info

Date: 4 September 2021, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Goianésia		Brasiliense

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.15
	3.25	3	2.1
	3.3	2.75	2.16
	3.34	2.82	2.18
	3.25	3	2.1
	3.42	2.92	2.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↓ (3.33)	2.92 ↑ (2.85)	2.15 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Goianésia
27.4%

Draw
30.8%

Brasiliense
41.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.6%

31.2%

42.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

24.1%

55.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Goianésia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Brasiliense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Goianésia than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Goianésia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brasiliense than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brasiliense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Goianésia is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Brasiliense is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Brasiliense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Goianésia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Goianésia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Goianésia
Brazilian Serie D
28.08.21	União Rondonópolis - Goianésia	0:1 ✺
21.08.21	Aparecidense - Goianésia	4:1 ✺
14.08.21	Goianésia - Porto Velho	1:1 ✺
07.08.21	Goianésia - Jaraguá	0:1 ✺
01.08.21	Nova Mutum - Goianésia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLTLL
- Brasiliense FC
Brazilian Serie D
28.08.21	Brasiliense - Porto Velho	2:1 ✺
22.08.21	Nova Mutum - Brasiliense	1:0 ✺
14.08.21	Brasiliense - União Rondonópolis	2:3 ✺
07.08.21	Gama - Brasiliense	0:1 ✺
31.07.21	Aparecidense - Brasiliense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
05.06.21	Brasiliense - Goianésia	1:1
Club Friendly
12.01.19	Goianésia - Brasiliense	1:2

Goianésia - Brasiliense

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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