Match Info

AFRICA: CAF Confederation Cup - Round 5

Date: 12 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nacional Da Tundavala (Lubango)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport OTT 2, SuperSport OTT 3
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, TOD
Canada	beIN Connect
South-africa	Supersport Maximo 1 Champions
Usa	beIN Connect
World	Fanatiz


	Bravos do Maquis		Simba

	1	X	2
	4.75	3	1.73	Watch
	4.2	3.2	1.75
	4.5	3.1	1.87	Watch
	3.42	3.01	2.15	Watch
	4.5	3.1	1.8
	4.73	3.14	1.81	Watch
	4.5	3.1	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.37 ↑ (4)	3.09 ↓ (3.6)	1.85 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bravos do Maquis
21%

Draw
29.6%

Simba
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.9%

25.5%

51.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

25.5%

51.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bravos do Maquis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Simba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bravos do Maquis than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Simba than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Bravos do Maquis - Simba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Okiemute O. (G) 11. Ferreira E. 25. Bengui S. 4. Constantino Aderito R. 26. Manico L. 10. Francis 8. Edmilson A. 13. Epalanga Kapitango H. 23. Mosiatlhaga A. K. 9. Paciencia J. 20. Macaiabo	40. Camara M. (G) 15. Hussein M. (C) 14. Hamza A. 20. Malone Junior C. 38. Kibu D. 21. Kagoma Y. 6. Ngoma F. 12. Kapombe S. 10. Ahoua J. C. 34. Mpanzu E. 13. Leonel Ateba
Substitutes
19. Abata V. 29. Aisson 2. Boyo A. 28. Cuxixima L. 21. Emmanuel 15. Fota T. U. 32. Junqueira C. 35. Landu (G) 3. Razao D.	1. Ally Salim (G) 23. Awesu A. A. 37. Balua E. 36. Chasambi L. 17. Fernandes D. 2. Karaboue C. 27. Mashaka V. 25. Okejepha A. 19. Yassin M.
Coaches
Soares M.	Davids F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Mosiatlhaga A. K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kagoma Y. ↓, Fernandes D. ↑,
53', Mpanzu E. ↓, Chasambi L. ↑,
66', Mosiatlhaga A. K. ↓, Cuxixima L. ↑,
66', Francis ↓, Boyo A. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Leonel Ateba ⚽,
75', Edmilson A. 🟨,
76', Edmilson A. ↓, Junqueira C. ↑,
77', Epalanga Kapitango H. ↓, Emmanuel ↑,
78', Kibu D. ↓, Okejepha A. ↑,
80', Fernandes D. 🟨,
87', Paciencia J. ↓, Abata V. ↑,
88', Camara M. 🟨,
88', Ahoua J. C. ↓, Karaboue C. ↑,
89', Leonel Ateba ↓, Mashaka V. ↑,

Preview

Recent matches Bravos do Maquis is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Simba in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Simba will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bravos do Maquis won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bravos do Maquis
CAF Confederation Cup
05.01.25	Constantine - Bravos do Maquis	4:0 ✺
Angolan Girabola
22.12.24	Desportivo da Huíla - Bravos do Maquis	1:0 ✺
18.12.24	Bravos do Maquis - Carmona	3:1 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
15.12.24	Bravos do Maquis - Constantine	3:2 ✺
08.12.24	Bravos do Maquis - Sfaxien	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 LLWWW
- Simba SC
CAF Confederation Cup
05.01.25	Sfaxien - Simba	0:1 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
28.12.24	Singida Black Stars - Simba	0:1 ✺
24.12.24	Simba - JKT Tanzania	1:0 ✺
21.12.24	Kagera Sugar - Simba	2:5 ✺
18.12.24	Simba - KenGold	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

CAF Confederation Cup
27.11.24	Simba - Bravos do Maquis	1:0

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