Match Info

TANZANIA: Ligi Kuu Bara - Round 15

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Kaitaba Stadium (Bukoba)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1


	Kagera Sugar		Simba

	1	X	2
	13	4.8	1.22
	13	5	1.21
	14.11	4.78	1.24	Watch
	10	4.5	1.27
	13.4	5.15	1.2
	13	5	1.21
Avarage Now (Initially)	12.75 ↑ (7.5)	4.87 ↑ (3.8)	1.23 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kagera Sugar
7.1%

Draw
18.7%

Simba
74.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.2%

24%

63.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.6%

22.8%

67.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kagera Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kagera Sugar's form might have worsened.

Simba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Simba's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kagera Sugar than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Simba than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Simba, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kagera Sugar - Simba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Kapombe S. ⚽, Hussein M. (A),
43', 0 - 2, Ahoua J. C. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
54', 0 - 3, Ngoma F. ⚽, Chasambi L. (A),
66', 0 - 4, Mukwala S. ⚽, Chasambi L. (A),
79', 1 - 4, Datius P. ⚽, Seif Kiakala T. (A),
85', 1 - 5, Mukwala S. ⚽, Chasambi L. (A),
90+2', 2 - 5, Mkandala C. ⚽, Feka K. (A),

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kagera Sugar FC
Tanzanian Premier League
11.12.24	Kagera Sugar - Namungo	1:1 ✺
05.12.24	Kagera Sugar - Prisons	0:0 ✺
30.11.24	Mashujaa - Kagera Sugar	1:1 ✺
23.11.24	Azam - Kagera Sugar	1:0 ✺
04.11.24	Kagera Sugar - Dodoma Jiji	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TTTLW
- Simba SC
Tanzanian Premier League
18.12.24	Simba - KenGold	2:0 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
15.12.24	Simba - Sfaxien	2:1 ✺
08.12.24	Constantine - Simba	2:1 ✺
27.11.24	Simba - Bravos do Maquis	1:0 ✺
Tanzanian Premier League
22.11.24	Pamba - Simba	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Tanzanian Premier League
12.05.24	Kagera Sugar - Simba	1:1
15.12.23	Simba - Kagera Sugar	3:0
21.12.22	Kagera Sugar - Simba	1:1
20.08.22	Simba - Kagera Sugar	2:0
11.05.22	Simba - Kagera Sugar	2:0
26.01.22	Kagera Sugar - Simba	1:0
21.04.21	Kagera Sugar - Simba	0:2

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