Match Info

AFRICA: CAF Confederation Cup - Round 4

Date: 5 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade Taïeb Mehiri (Sfax)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 1, DStv Now
Asia	beIN Sports MENA 9
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Portugal	Sport TV7
South-africa	SABC Plus
Tunisia	Watania 1


	Sfaxien		Simba

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.8	3	Watch
	2.45	2.7	2.9
	2.35	2.85	3.25	Watch
				Watch
	2.45	2.7	3.1
	2.38	2.88	3.18	Watch
	2.45	2.85	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↓ (2.5)	2.8 ↓ (3.2)	3.09 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sfaxien
37.9%

Draw
32.6%

Simba
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

28.2%

35.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sfaxien has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Simba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Simba might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sfaxien than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Simba than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Simba could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	18.2%	27.3%

Sfaxien - Simba Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Sfaxien will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Simba will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sfaxien: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Dahmen A. (C) 28. Traore G. 4. Harabi S. 32. Ayouni H. 21. Baccar H. 25. Sekkouhi F. 6. Conte B. M. 10. Zaidi W. 20. Becha Y. 9. Haj H. H. 18. Cristo	40. Camara M. (G) 20. Malone Junior C. 21. Kagoma Y. 14. Hamza A. 12. Kapombe S. 10. Ahoua J. C. 6. Ngoma F. 38. Kibu D. 15. Hussein M. (C) 34. Mpanzu E. 13. Leonel Ateba
Substitutes
38. Absi M. 29. Ben Ali O. 1. Gaaloul M. (G) 12. Guesmi M. I. 11. Habbassi A. 7. Haboubi A. 27. Hmidi B. 14. Sa P. 34. Winley F.	1. Ally Salim (G) 23. Awesu A. A. 36. Chasambi L. 17. Fernandes D. 2. Karaboue C. 33. Kijili K. 11. Mukwala S. 25. Okejepha A. 19. Yassin M.
Coaches
Perrin O.	Davids F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', Mpanzu E. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Ahoua J. C. ⚽, Leonel Ateba (A),
45+3', Leonel Ateba 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
59', Traore G. ↓, Winley F. ↑,
59', Cristo ↓, Hmidi B. ↑,
61', Hmidi B. 🟨,
68', Zaidi W. ↓, Habbassi A. ↑,
77', Mpanzu E. ↓, Fernandes D. ↑,
82', Becha Y. ↓, Ben Ali O. ↑,
82', Haj H. H. ↓, Haboubi A. ↑,
87', Kibu D. ↓, Karaboue C. ↑,
90', Leonel Ateba ↓, Mukwala S. ↑,

Preview

Sfaxien has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Simba in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Sfaxien could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Simba to win the game is with odds 2.92.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sfaxien won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Sfaxien
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
29.12.24	Sfaxien - Espérance ST	0:1 ✺
26.12.24	Sfaxien - Stade Tunisien	1:2 ✺
22.12.24	Métlaoui - Sfaxien	2:1 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
15.12.24	Simba - Sfaxien	2:1 ✺
08.12.24	Bravos do Maquis - Sfaxien	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Simba SC
Tanzanian Premier League
28.12.24	Singida Black Stars - Simba	0:1 ✺
24.12.24	Simba - JKT Tanzania	1:0 ✺
21.12.24	Kagera Sugar - Simba	2:5 ✺
18.12.24	Simba - KenGold	2:0 ✺
CAF Confederation Cup
15.12.24	Simba - Sfaxien	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

CAF Confederation Cup
15.12.24	Simba - Sfaxien	2:1

Upcoming Matches