Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 18

Date: 14 January 2024, Sunday


	Barbastro		Brea

	1	X	2
	1.87	2.85	4.2
	1.9	3	4.5	Watch
	1.91	3.03	4.84
	1.87	3.03	4.84
	1.67	3.25	4.6
	1.84	2.91	4.88
	1.86	2.95	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.67)	3 ↓ (3.2)	4.61 ↓ (4.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barbastro
49.6%

Draw
30.5%

Brea
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.5%

27.9%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

25.8%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barbastro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Brea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barbastro than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barbastro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brea than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Barbastro - Brea Predictions

Users Predictions: Barbastro will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Barbastro is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Brea has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Barbastro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Barbastro have a series of home games.

In this match Barbastro is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Barbastro to win the game is with odds 1.98.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Barbastro won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Barbastro
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
10.01.24	Barbastro - Gernika	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
07.01.24	Barbastro - Barcelona	2:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
16.12.23	Real Sociedad C - Barbastro	0:1 ✺
10.12.23	Barbastro - Náxara	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.12.23	Barbastro - Almería	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30 WLWWW
- CD Brea
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
06.01.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Brea	3:0 ✺
17.12.23	Brea - UD Logroñés	0:2 ✺
10.12.23	Utebo - Brea	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Gernika - Brea	1:0 ✺
25.11.23	Brea - Real Sociedad C	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
03.09.23	Brea - Barbastro	0:0

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