Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 31

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday


	Brea		Gernika

	1	X	2
	2.95	2.8	2.35
	3.1	2.9	2.4
	3.05	2.82	2.56
	3.05	2.82	2.56
	3.18	2.81	2.44
	3	2.8	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.06 ↓ (3.35)	2.83 ↑ (2.75)	2.46 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brea
30.1%

Draw
32.5%

Gernika
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

33.2%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

32.7%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Gernika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brea than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, Lucas Rey N. ⚽,
37', Hugo Gómez 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', 0 - 2, Gallastegi J. ⚽,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Brea is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Gernika is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gernika could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gernika will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Brea won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Brea won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Brea
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
06.04.24	Real Sociedad C - Brea	3:2 ✺
30.03.24	Brea - Náxara	1:0 ✺
24.03.24	Tudelano - Brea	2:0 ✺
17.03.24	Brea - Calahorra	0:2 ✺
10.03.24	Barakaldo - Brea	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLLL
- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
06.04.24	Gernika - Utebo	2:0 ✺
31.03.24	Gernika - Real Sociedad C	3:1 ✺
24.03.24	Náxara - Gernika	2:1 ✺
17.03.24	Gernika - Tudelano	1:4 ✺
10.03.24	Calahorra - Gernika	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
03.12.23	Gernika - Brea	1:0
28.01.23	Brea - Gernika	1:0
11.09.22	Gernika - Brea	1:1

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