Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 26

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday


	Barakaldo		Brea

	1	X	2
	1.26	4.8	9.75
	1.28	5	10	Watch
	1.28	4.68	13.12
	1.29	4.68	13.12
	1.27	4.85	11.8
	1.26	4.8	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.41)	4.8 ↑ (3.5)	11.3 ↑ (9.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barakaldo
72.6%

Draw
19.2%

Brea
8.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

26%

9.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.4%

24.2%

8.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Barakaldo's performance.

Brea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brea than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Barakaldo - Brea Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Barakaldo is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Brea is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Brea could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Barakaldo is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Barakaldo won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
02.03.24	Gernika - Barakaldo	0:1 ✺
25.02.24	Barakaldo - Real Sociedad C	5:0 ✺
18.02.24	Náxara - Barakaldo	0:0 ✺
11.02.24	Barakaldo - Tudelano	3:1 ✺
04.02.24	Calahorra - Barakaldo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWTWT
- CD Brea
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
03.03.24	Brea - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:1 ✺
24.02.24	San Juan - Brea	0:0 ✺
18.02.24	Brea - Mutilvera	0:1 ✺
11.02.24	Zaragoza B - Brea	2:0 ✺
04.02.24	Brea - Alavés B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
28.10.23	Brea - Barakaldo	0:2

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