Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 30

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Gernika		Utebo

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.88	3.4
	2.17	3.02	3.6
	2.11	3.09	3.47	Watch
	2.3	2.75	3.1
	2.28	2.81	3.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.4)	2.91 ↓ (2.94)	3.37 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gernika
41.5%

Draw
31.4%

Utebo
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

31%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

30.1%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gernika has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Utebo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gernika than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Utebo than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Gernika - Utebo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
82', 0 - 1, Suarez D. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gernika won 1.

Gernika has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Utebo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Gernika won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Gernika won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Utebo FC	5	1	3	1	5:5	0	6

Last Results with these Odds

Gernika - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 37.91%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gernika Club
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
28.03.26	Ebro - Gernika	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Gernika - Náxara	2:3 ✺
14.03.26	Beasain - Gernika	4:0 ✺
08.03.26	Gernika - UD Logroñés	1:3 ✺
28.02.26	Eibar B - Gernika	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 TLLLL
- Utebo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
29.03.26	Utebo - Real Unión de Irun	2:3 ✺
21.03.26	SD Logroñés - Utebo	1:2 ✺
15.03.26	Utebo - Zaragoza B	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Alavés B - Utebo	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Utebo - Ejea	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
13.09.25	Utebo - Gernika	3:1
15.03.25	Utebo - Gernika	2:0
02.11.24	Gernika - Utebo	1:1
06.04.24	Gernika - Utebo	2:0
25.11.23	Utebo - Gernika	1:0
25.03.23	Utebo - Gernika	0:0
05.11.22	Gernika - Utebo	0:2

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