Match Info

Date: 29 April 2021, Thursday


	Brechin City		Annan Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.95	3.2	2.23
	3	3.45	2.14
	3.06	3.64	2.26
	3.1	3.1	2.25
	3.05	3.44	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.5)	3.37 ↓ (3.74)	2.23 ↓ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brechin City
30.7%

Draw
27.6%

Annan Athletic
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

24%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

17.7%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brechin City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Brechin City's form might have worsened.

Annan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brechin City than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Annan Athletic than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Annan Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Brechin City - Annan Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Brechin is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Annan is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Annan could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Annan will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Brechin won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Brechin won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brechin City
Scottish League Two
27.04.21	Cowdenbeath - Brechin City	0:2 ✺
20.04.21	Brechin City - Cowdenbeath	0:0 ✺
20.04.21	Cowdenbeath - Brechin City	Canceled
17.04.21	Annan Athletic - Brechin City	3:0 ✺
13.04.21	Edinburgh City - Brechin City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WT?LL
- Annan Athletic
Scottish League Two
27.04.21	Annan Athletic - Stenhousemuir	1:1 ✺
24.04.21	Albion Rovers - Annan Athletic	1:0 ✺
20.04.21	Annan Athletic - Stenhousemuir	5:1 ✺
20.04.21	Stenhousemuir - Annan Athletic	Canceled
17.04.21	Annan Athletic - Brechin City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLW?W

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League Two
17.04.21	Annan Athletic - Brechin City	3:0
22.12.20	Brechin City - Annan Athletic	0:0
12.11.19	Annan Athletic - Brechin City	5:2
Scottish Cup
26.10.19	Brechin City - Annan Athletic	0:2
19.10.19	Annan Athletic - Brechin City	2:2
Scottish League Two
03.08.19	Brechin City - Annan Athletic	0:1
Scottish Cup
09.12.14	Brechin City - Annan Athletic	4:2

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