Match Info

Challenge Cup - Round 2

Date: 26 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: Galabank (Annan)


	Annan Athletic		Stenhousemuir

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2.05
	3.6	3.3	1.83
	3.2	3.65	2.02
	3.15	3.74	2.02
	2.91	2.98	2.49	Watch
	3.7	3.3	1.83
	3.09	3.52	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.25 ↓ (3.64)	3.41 ↓ (3.58)	2.05 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Annan Athletic
28.3%

Draw
26.9%

Stenhousemuir
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

25.6%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.6%

25%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Annan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Stenhousemuir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Annan Athletic than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stenhousemuir than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stenhousemuir could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Annan Athletic - Stenhousemuir Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Stenhousemuir (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Jamieson N. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', 1 - 1, Trialist ⚽, Muir R. (A),
62', 1 - 2, Taylor R. ⚽,
82', 1 - 3, Carrick D. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Annan won 0.

In recent matches, Annan has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Stenhousemuir is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Stenhousemuir has had a series of home games.

Stenhousemuir could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Annan won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:32. (average 1.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Annan won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:17. (average 1.3:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Annan Athletic - the odds 3.64 are the expected chance of winning is 25.17%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Annan Athletic
Scottish League Two
23.08.25	Annan Athletic - Dumbarton	3:4 ✺
16.08.25	Edinburgh City - Annan Athletic	2:2 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
12.08.25	Kelty Hearts - Annan Athletic	1:0 ✺
Scottish League Two
09.08.25	Stirling Albion - Annan Athletic	0:0 ✺
02.08.25	Annan Athletic - Elgin City	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LTLTW
- Stenhousemuir
Scottish League One
23.08.25	Stenhousemuir - Queen of the South	0:0 ✺
16.08.25	Inverness - Stenhousemuir	1:2 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
12.08.25	Stenhousemuir - Glasgow Rangers B	2:1 ✺
Scottish League One
09.08.25	Stenhousemuir - Cove Rangers	1:0 ✺
02.08.25	Stenhousemuir - Alloa Athletic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Scottish League One
08.03.25	Annan Athletic - Stenhousemuir	0:2
04.01.25	Stenhousemuir - Annan Athletic	1:1
09.11.24	Annan Athletic - Stenhousemuir	1:1
31.08.24	Stenhousemuir - Annan Athletic	5:1
Scottish League Two
06.05.23	Stenhousemuir - Annan Athletic	2:1
04.03.23	Annan Athletic - Stenhousemuir	2:3
08.10.22	Stenhousemuir - Annan Athletic	2:2

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