Match Info

Challenge Cup - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 9 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Ochilview Park (Stenhousemuir)


	Stenhousemuir		Annan Athletic

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.1	3.9
	1.66	3.86	4.04
	1.69	4.18	3.89	Watch
	1.67	3.6	4.2
	1.65	3.84	4.31
	1.66	4	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.71)	3.93 ↑ (3.85)	4.06 ↓ (4.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stenhousemuir
54.5%

Draw
23.1%

Annan Athletic
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

23.9%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4%

23.7%

22%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stenhousemuir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Annan Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stenhousemuir than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Annan Athletic than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Stenhousemuir - Annan Athletic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, Taylor R. ⚽, Grant L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', 2 - 0, Taylor R. ⚽, Grant L. (A),
72', Muir T. 🟥,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stenhousemuir won 3.

Stenhousemuir is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Annan has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Annan has had a series of home games.

In this match, Stenhousemuir is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stenhousemuir won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:24. (average 1.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Stenhousemuir won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.6:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Annan Athletic - the odds 4.15 are the expected chance of winning is 22.2%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stenhousemuir
Scottish League One
06.12.25	Stenhousemuir - Hamilton Academical	0:0 ✺
Scottish Cup
29.11.25	Stenhousemuir - Clachnacuddin	4:1 ✺
Scottish League One
22.11.25	Peterhead - Stenhousemuir	1:4 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
19.11.25	Dumbarton - Stenhousemuir	0:2 ✺
Scottish League One
15.11.25	East Fife - Stenhousemuir	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWWWL
- Annan Athletic
Scottish League Two
06.12.25	Annan Athletic - Spartans	1:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
29.11.25	Annan Athletic - Buckie Thistle	4:0 ✺
Scottish League Two
22.11.25	Clyde - Annan Athletic	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Annan Athletic - Edinburgh City	1:1 ✺
Scottish Challenge Cup
11.11.25	Annan Athletic - Kilmarnock 2	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Challenge Cup
26.08.25	Annan Athletic - Stenhousemuir	1:3
Scottish League One
08.03.25	Annan Athletic - Stenhousemuir	0:2
04.01.25	Stenhousemuir - Annan Athletic	1:1
09.11.24	Annan Athletic - Stenhousemuir	1:1
31.08.24	Stenhousemuir - Annan Athletic	5:1
Scottish League Two
06.05.23	Stenhousemuir - Annan Athletic	2:1
04.03.23	Annan Athletic - Stenhousemuir	2:3

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