Match Info

Besta deild karla - Championship Group - Round 3

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Kópavogsvöllur (Kópavogur) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Iceland	19:15	SÝN Sport Ísland
International	19:15	OneFootball TV


	Breiðablik		Keflavík

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.90	3.25
	1.88	3.95	3.3	Watch
	1.8	4.3	3.91
	1.85	4.34	3.57	Watch
	1.76	4	3.8
	1.84	4.09	3.57	Watch
	1.82	4.1	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↓ (1.85)	4.1 ↓ (4.14)	3.56 ↑ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Breiðablik
51%

Draw
22.8%

Keflavík
26.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.3%

22.5%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

20.7%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Breiðablik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Keflavík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Breiðablik than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keflavík than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Breiðablik - Keflavík Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Snaeholm G. (G) 9. Omarsson O. 14. Karlsson H. 4. Orrason A. 5. Arnason I. 13. Ludviksson A. 8. Einarsson V. 7. Gunnlaugsson H. (C) 10. Steindorsson K. 22. Arnarsson J. 99. Ulfarsson T.	1. Magnusson A. (G) 3. Johannesson A. 88. Simicic M. 20. Brigic M. 47. Karlsson E. 28. Traustason V. A. 6. Magnusson S. (C) 23. Ragnarsson E. 7. Valsson D. 21. Conteh A. 10. Ljubicic S.
Substitutes
32. Bjorgvinsson K. 1. Einarsson A. (G) 16. Fjeldsted D. 33. Gunnleifsson A. 29. Hallsson G. 18. Ingvarsson D. 24. Jonsson B. O. 21. Margeirsson V. 77. Thorsteinsson B.	15. Adalbjorssnos A. 18. Bjarnason E. 42. Brynjarsson B. L. 2. Bwomono E. 25. Elvarsson F. 4. Heras N. 12. Hermannsson H. (G) 26. Holmarsson R. 22. Magnusson A.
Coaches
Skulason O.	Gudmundsson H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Einarsson V. ⚽, Omarsson O. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Magnusson S. ↓, Magnusson A. ↑,
46', Karlsson E. ↓, Heras N. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Arnarsson J. ⚽, Gunnlaugsson H. (A),
70', Steindorsson K. ↓, Ingvarsson D. ↑,
70', Arnarsson J. ↓, Thorsteinsson B. ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Ragnarsson E. ⚽, Conteh A. (A),
83', Ulfarsson T. ↓, Gunnleifsson A. ↑,
83', Arnason I. ↓, Fjeldsted D. ↑,
83', Traustason V. A. ↓, Brynjarsson B. L. ↑,
83', Simicic M. ↓, Adalbjorssnos A. ↑,
88', Conteh A. ↓, Holmarsson R. ↑,
90', Einarsson V. ↓, Hallsson G. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 1, Gunnlaugsson H. ⚽,

Preview

Breiðablik is Qualified for Europa League (Qualification ).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breiðablik won 3.

Breiðablik has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Keflavík is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Recently, Breiðablik has faced a series of away games on the road.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Breiðablik holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Breiðablik has recorded 13 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 51:25 (averaging 2.6:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Breiðablik against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 33:11 goals (averaging 3.3:1.1 per game).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Breidablik	27	10	6	11	54:57	-3	36
6	Keflavik	27	8	6	13	43:54	-11	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Breiðablik UBK
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
20.09.26	Akraness - Breiðablik	4:1 ✺
15.09.26	Fram - Breiðablik	1:3 ✺
Icelandic Cup
11.09.26	Afturelding - Breiðablik	1:2 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
06.09.26	KA Akureyri - Breiðablik	2:1 ✺
31.08.26	Breiðablik - Stjarnan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWLL
- Keflavík
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
20.09.26	Keflavík - Fram	2:2 ✺
14.09.26	Vikingur Reykjavik - Keflavík	4:1 ✺
05.09.26	Keflavík - Valur	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	FH Hafnarfjordur - Keflavík	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Keflavík - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
13.07.26	Breiðablik - Keflavík	2:1
22.04.26	Keflavík - Breiðablik	0:0
Icelandic Cup
25.04.24	Keflavík - Breiðablik	2:1
Icelandic League Cup
07.03.24	Breiðablik - Keflavík	4:0
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
20.08.23	Breiðablik - Keflavík	2:1
29.05.23	Keflavík - Breiðablik	0:0
17.07.22	Keflavík - Breiðablik	2:3

Breiðablik - Keflavík