Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Breiðablik		Keflavík

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	4.00	3.35
	1.86	4.10	3.55
	1.93	4.23	3.29	Watch
	1.80	4.00	3.45
	1.85	4.10	3.41
	1.88	3.90	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.85)	4.06 ↓ (4.14)	3.38 ↓ (3.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Breiðablik
50%

Draw
22.7%

Keflavík
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

22.5%

27.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4%

20.7%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Breiðablik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Keflavík has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Breiðablik than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keflavík than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Breiðablik - Keflavík Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Breiðablik is Qualified for Europa League (Qualification ).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breiðablik won 3.

Breiðablik has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Keflavík has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Recently, Breiðablik has faced a series of away games on the road.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Breiðablik holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Breiðablik has recorded 13 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 51:25 (averaging 2.6:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Breiðablik against this opponent, the record stands at 9 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 33:11 goals (averaging 3.3:1.1 per game).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Breidablik ✔	24	9	6	9	47:46	1	33
6	Keflavik	24	8	5	11	36:44	-8	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Breiðablik UBK
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
20.09.26	Akraness - Breiðablik	4:1 ✺
15.09.26	Fram - Breiðablik	1:3 ✺
Icelandic Cup
11.09.26	Afturelding - Breiðablik	1:2 ✺
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
06.09.26	KA Akureyri - Breiðablik	2:1 ✺
31.08.26	Breiðablik - Stjarnan	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWWLL
- Keflavík
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
20.09.26	Keflavík - Fram	2:2 ✺
14.09.26	Vikingur Reykjavik - Keflavík	4:1 ✺
05.09.26	Keflavík - Valur	1:2 ✺
30.08.26	FH Hafnarfjordur - Keflavík	2:1 ✺
23.08.26	Keflavík - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
13.07.26	Breiðablik - Keflavík	2:1
22.04.26	Keflavík - Breiðablik	0:0
Icelandic Cup
25.04.24	Keflavík - Breiðablik	2:1
Icelandic League Cup
07.03.24	Breiðablik - Keflavík	4:0
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
20.08.23	Breiðablik - Keflavík	2:1
29.05.23	Keflavík - Breiðablik	0:0
17.07.22	Keflavík - Breiðablik	2:3

Breiðablik - Keflavík: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide