Match Info

Besta deild karla - Round 20

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Keflavíkurvöllur (Keflavík)

Where to Watch on TV:


Iceland	SÝN Sport Ísland 4
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	Keflavík		ÍBV Vestmannaeyar

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.95	3.75	3.20
	2.02	3.70	2.85	Watch
	1.97	4.13	3.29
	2.04	4.05	3.18
	1.92	4.25	3.20
	1.96	4.10	3.14	Watch
	2.02	3.85	3.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.12)	3.98 ↓ (4.2)	3.14 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Keflavík
46.9%

Draw
23.4%

ÍBV Vestmannaeyar
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

22.1%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

21.9%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Keflavík has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ÍBV Vestmannaeyar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keflavík than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for ÍBV Vestmannaeyar than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Keflavík - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Magnusson A. (G) 3. Johannesson A. 4. Heras N. 20. Brigic M. 22. Magnusson A. 23. Ragnarsson E. 6. Magnusson S. (C) 8. Baxter B. 11. Al Ghoul M. 10. Ljubicic S. 7. Valsson D.	33. Petersen A. (G) 23. Kristinsson A. 2. Magnusson S. 4. Edeland M. 26. Fridriksson F. 6. Tomic M. 25. Hilmarsson A. (C) 8. Gunnarsson B. 30. Valor V. 7. Hardarson S. 67. Sowe O.
Substitutes
18. Bjarnason E. 2. Bwomono E. 21. Conteh A. 17. Gudlaugsson B. 12. Hermannsson H. (G) 47. Karlsson E. 14. Mudrazija M. 88. Simicic M. 28. Traustason V. A.	3. Fridriksson A. 17. Gautason E. 27. Hlynsson R. 28. Magnusson H. 42. Pisco 22. Runarsson E. 10. Valgeirsson V. 1. Vidrih I. (G) 11. Vokes A.
Coaches
Gudmundsson H.	Linta A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Ljubicic S. ⚽, Ragnarsson E. (A),
27', Al Ghoul M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Hardarson S. ↓, Valgeirsson V. ↑,
65', Baxter B. ↓, Simicic M. ↑,
65', Valsson D. ↓, Conteh A. ↑,
72', Tomic M. ↓, Hlynsson R. ↑,
81', Fridriksson F. 🟨,
82', Ljubicic S. ↓, Mudrazija M. ↑,
86', Kristinsson A. ↓, Vokes A. ↑,
89', Ragnarsson E. ↓, Gudlaugsson B. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Besta deild karla (Championship Group: ) and 9 in the zone Besta deild karla (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Keflavík won 2.

Keflavík has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

ÍBV is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

ÍBV may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Keflavík is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Keflavík won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 30:40. (average 1.5:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Keflavík won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 2:1.8).

Standings

Championship Group

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Keflavik	24	8	5	11	36:44	-8	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Keflavík
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
15.08.26	Thor Akureyri - Keflavík	0:2 ✺
09.08.26	Stjarnan - Keflavík	1:0 ✺
05.08.26	Keflavík - KA Akureyri	3:0 ✺
24.07.26	Vikingur Reykjavik - Keflavík	5:1 ✺
20.07.26	Keflavík - Akraness	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWLW
- ÍBV Vestmannaeyar
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
16.08.26	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Akraness	1:3 ✺
09.08.26	Vikingur Reykjavik - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	2:2 ✺
01.08.26	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Fram	1:2 ✺
27.07.26	Breiðablik - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	1:0 ✺
19.07.26	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - KA Akureyri	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Icelandic Besta-deild karla
31.05.26	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Keflavík	6:1
Icelandic League Cup
15.02.25	Keflavík - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	1:0
Icelandic Division 1
30.08.24	Keflavík - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	3:2
30.06.24	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Keflavík	5:0
Icelandic Besta-deild karla
07.10.23	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Keflavík	1:1
16.07.23	ÍBV Vestmannaeyar - Keflavík	1:1
29.04.23	Keflavík - ÍBV Vestmannaeyar	1:3

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