Match Info

Promotion League

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday


	Breitenrain Bern		Basel II

	1	X	2
	2.18	3.45	2.78
	2.26	3.55	2.72
	2.3	3.6	2.8	Watch
	2.2	3.3	2.75
	2.25	3.45	2.72
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.48)	3.47 ↓ (3.79)	2.75 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Breitenrain Bern
40.7%

Draw
26.2%

Basel II
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

24.5%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5%

24.6%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Breitenrain Bern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Basel II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Breitenrain Bern than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Basel II than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Breitenrain Bern - Basel II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Wenzi A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Breitenrain won 1.

Breitenrain has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Basel II is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Basel II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Breitenrain won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:32. (average 1.6:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Breitenrain won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.9:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Basel II	10	5	0	5	19:19	0	15
10	Breitenrain	10	4	2	4	13:15	-2	14

Last Results with these Odds

Breitenrain Bern - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 37.44%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Breitenrain Bern
Swiss Promotion League
08.05.26	Bulle - Breitenrain Bern	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Breitenrain Bern - Zurich II	3:1 ✺
25.04.26	Luzern II - Breitenrain Bern	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Breitenrain Bern - Brühl	1:3 ✺
15.04.26	Vevey - Breitenrain Bern	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWWLT
- Basel II
Swiss Promotion League
09.05.26	Basel II - Kriens	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Cham - Basel II	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Basel II - Kreuzlingen	2:4 ✺
18.04.26	Lausanne II - Basel II	0:1 ✺
15.04.26	Basel II - Schaffhausen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 WTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
08.11.25	Basel II - Breitenrain Bern	0:0
03.05.25	Basel II - Breitenrain Bern	5:1
26.10.24	Breitenrain Bern - Basel II	1:2
25.11.23	Breitenrain Bern - Basel II	2:2
05.08.23	Basel II - Breitenrain Bern	1:2
13.05.23	Breitenrain Bern - Basel II	1:3
05.11.22	Basel II - Breitenrain Bern	0:2

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